Case study

HAVELLS

HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +9.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

63Score

HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED (HAVELLS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HAVELLS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED (HAVELLS) trades at ₹1,288,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.

On the numbers, HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED (HAVELLS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing expensive at 48.5× earnings, ROE of 19.0%, a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HAVELLS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹80,830 Cr
Current price
₹1,288
P/E ratio
48.5×
P/B ratio
8.53×
Book value
₹151
Dividend yield
0.78%
ROCE
24.9%
ROE
19.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How HAVELLS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is HAVELLS overvalued? HAVELLS P/E vs its Consumer

HAVELLS's P/E of 48.5× sits below the Consumer peer median of 53.8×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.78% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.75%.

HAVELLS P/E
48.5×
Peer median P/E
53.8×
HAVELLS div yield
0.78%
Peer median yield
0.75%

HAVELLS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HAVELLS history (12%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HAVELLS 2027₹1,034₹1,413₹1,930+10%
HAVELLS 2028₹1,000₹1,549₹2,400+20%
HAVELLS 2029₹995₹1,699₹2,901+32%
HAVELLS 2030₹1,000₹1,863₹3,471+45%
HAVELLS 2031₹1,012₹2,044₹4,126+59%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HAVELLS goes up, or doubles?

65%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
80%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
34%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,576 within 5 years

The bull case for HAVELLS

  • HAVELLS's return on equity of 19.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • HAVELLS's return on capital employed of 24.9% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,413 (+10%).
  • Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,901.

The bear case & risks

  • HAVELLS's P/E of 48.5x is lower than 27% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹995.

HAVELLS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years HAVELLS compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,034-₹1,930, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HAVELLS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.7%
80% range₹1,034-₹1,930
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
31.9%
80% range₹995-₹2,901
P(price ↑)75%
P(price 2×)16%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
58.7%
80% range₹1,012-₹4,126
P(price ↑)80%
P(price 2×)34%

HAVELLS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HAVELLS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HAVELLS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HAVELLS price target & forecast page.

HAVELLS Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HAVELLS scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

HAVELLS MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HAVELLS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox23.66%4.2×
Zerodha23.10%4.3×
Groww23.18%4.3×
Dhan22.00%4.5×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST20.12%5.0×
Paytm Money21.10%4.7×
Pocketful27.35%3.7×
Fyers27.78%3.6×
Anand Rathi27.14%3.7×
Bajaj Broking23.00%4.3×
Share India27.23%3.7×

Compare every broker on the HAVELLS MTF page.

HAVELLS vs peers,Consumer comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
HAVELLS (this stock)48.5×0.78%₹80,830 Cr
ASIANPAINT53.8×1.01%₹2.62L Cr
TITAN75.2×0.30%₹4.39L Cr
PAGEIND56.3×1.38%₹44,504 Cr
BERGEPAINT50.4×0.75%₹61,862 Cr
KALYANKJIL42.8×0.25%₹62,616 Cr
BLUESTARCO58.8×0.56%₹31,130 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED (HAVELLS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Consumer sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹80,830 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HAVELLS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HAVELLS analysis, FAQs

Is HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED (HAVELLS) a good buy?

On the numbers, HAVELLS INDIA LIMITED (HAVELLS) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing expensive at 48.5× earnings, ROE of 19.0%, a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HAVELLS overvalued or undervalued?

HAVELLS trades at 48.5× earnings versus a peer median of 53.8×, so it screens cheaper than its Consumer peers.

What is the HAVELLS share price target for 2031?

HAVELLS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,044, with an 80% range of ₹1,012-₹4,126 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HAVELLS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HAVELLS reaching ₹2,576 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.

What is the bull case for HAVELLS?

HAVELLS's return on equity of 19.0% ranks in the 82nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HAVELLS's return on capital employed of 24.9% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,413 (+10%).

What are the risks in HAVELLS?

HAVELLS's P/E of 48.5x is lower than 27% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

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