Case study

PAGEIND

Page Industries

Mixed signals1y model -3.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Page Industries (PAGEIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PAGEIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Page Industries (PAGEIND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PAGEIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PAGEIND history (-0%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PAGEIND 2027₹28,357₹38,662₹52,857-3%
PAGEIND 2028₹24,072₹37,570₹58,357-6%
PAGEIND 2029₹21,319₹36,488₹61,755-9%
PAGEIND 2030₹18,731₹34,967₹65,514-13%
PAGEIND 2031₹16,993₹33,933₹67,970-15%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PAGEIND goes up, or doubles?

45%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
38%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
6%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹79,950 within 5 years

The bull case for PAGEIND

  • Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹61,755.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹21,319.

PAGEIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years PAGEIND compounded at -0%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹28,357₹52,857, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PAGEIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.3%
80% range₹28,357–₹52,857
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
8.7%
80% range₹21,319–₹61,755
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)3%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
15.1%
80% range₹16,993–₹67,970
P(price ↑)38%
P(price 2×)6%

PAGEIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PAGEIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PAGEIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PAGEIND price target & forecast page.

PAGEIND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PAGEIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox27.1%3.7×
Zerodha23.1%4.3×
DhanCHEAPEST22.0%4.5×

Compare every broker on the PAGEIND MTF page.

PAGEIND vs peers,Consumer comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
PAGEIND (this stock)
ASIANPAINT57.7×1.03%₹2.56L Cr
TITAN75.4×0.25%₹3.88L Cr
HAVELLS43.8×0.85%₹74,032 Cr
BERGEPAINT54.9×0.69%₹64,031 Cr
KALYANKJIL28.6×0.39%₹39,358 Cr
BLUESTARCO61.5×0.51%₹34,246 Cr

About Page Industries: sector, index & market-cap context

Page Industries (PAGEIND) is an NSE-listed company in the Consumer sector.

How the PAGEIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Page Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PAGEIND analysis, FAQs

Is Page Industries (PAGEIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Page Industries (PAGEIND) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PAGEIND overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for PAGEIND are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the PAGEIND share price target for 2031?

PAGEIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹33,933, with an 80% range of ₹16,993₹67,970 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PAGEIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PAGEIND reaching ₹79,950 (2×) within 5 years is 6%.

What is the bull case for PAGEIND?

Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in PAGEIND?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 45% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on PAGEIND