KALYANKJIL
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited (KALYANKJIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KALYANKJIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited (KALYANKJIL) trades at ₹606,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Kalyan Jewellers India Limited (KALYANKJIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 42.8× earnings, ROE of 24.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KALYANKJIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How KALYANKJIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- KALYANKJIL's market cap of 62,616 Cr ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KALYANKJIL's book value of ₹61 ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KALYANKJIL's promoter holding of 62.9% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KALYANKJIL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 44.0% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KALYANKJIL's 3-year revenue growth of 36.0% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KALYANKJIL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.97x is lower than 15% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is KALYANKJIL overvalued? KALYANKJIL P/E vs its Consumer
KALYANKJIL's P/E of 42.8× sits below the Consumer peer median of 53.8×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.25% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.75%.
KALYANKJIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 5.3y of KALYANKJIL history (40%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KALYANKJIL 2027 | ₹338 | ₹628 | ₹1,164 | +4% |
| KALYANKJIL 2028 | ₹275 | ₹649 | ₹1,531 | +7% |
| KALYANKJIL 2029 | ₹231 | ₹672 | ₹1,953 | +11% |
| KALYANKJIL 2030 | ₹203 | ₹696 | ₹2,382 | +15% |
| KALYANKJIL 2031 | ₹185 | ₹720 | ₹2,798 | +19% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KALYANKJIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KALYANKJIL
- KALYANKJIL's return on equity of 24.8% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KALYANKJIL's return on capital employed of 20.5% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,953.
The bear case & risks
- KALYANKJIL's P/E of 42.8x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹231.
KALYANKJIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 5.3 years KALYANKJIL compounded at 40%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹338-₹1,164, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KALYANKJIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KALYANKJIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KALYANKJIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KALYANKJIL price target & forecast page.
KALYANKJIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KALYANKJIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
KALYANKJIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KALYANKJIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 32.60% | 3.1× |
| Groww | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Dhan | 57.00% | 1.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 38.10% | 2.6× |
| Fyers | 62.50% | 1.6× |
| Anand Rathi | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 57.00% | 1.8× |
| Share India | 38.16% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the KALYANKJIL MTF page.
KALYANKJIL vs peers,Consumer comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| KALYANKJIL (this stock) | 42.8× | 0.25% | ₹62,616 Cr |
| ASIANPAINT | 53.8× | 1.01% | ₹2.62L Cr |
| TITAN | 75.2× | 0.30% | ₹4.39L Cr |
| HAVELLS | 48.5× | 0.78% | ₹80,830 Cr |
| PAGEIND | 56.3× | 1.38% | ₹44,504 Cr |
| BERGEPAINT | 50.4× | 0.75% | ₹61,862 Cr |
| BLUESTARCO | 58.8× | 0.56% | ₹31,130 Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About Kalyan Jewellers India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited (KALYANKJIL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Consumer sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹62,616 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the KALYANKJIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kalyan Jewellers India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KALYANKJIL analysis, FAQs
Is Kalyan Jewellers India Limited (KALYANKJIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kalyan Jewellers India Limited (KALYANKJIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 42.8× earnings, ROE of 24.8%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KALYANKJIL overvalued or undervalued?
KALYANKJIL trades at 42.8× earnings versus a peer median of 53.8×, so it screens cheaper than its Consumer peers.
What is the KALYANKJIL share price target for 2031?
KALYANKJIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹720, with an 80% range of ₹185-₹2,798 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KALYANKJIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KALYANKJIL reaching ₹1,213 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for KALYANKJIL?
KALYANKJIL's return on equity of 24.8% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KALYANKJIL's return on capital employed of 20.5% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in KALYANKJIL?
KALYANKJIL's P/E of 42.8x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.