Case study

CANBK

Canara Bank

Worth a closer look1y model +6.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

69Score

Canara Bank (CANBK) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is CANBK a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Canara Bank (CANBK) trades at ₹132,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.

On the numbers, Canara Bank (CANBK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.0× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

CANBK fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.20L Cr
Current price
₹132
P/E ratio
6.0×
P/B ratio
0.97×
Book value
₹136
Dividend yield
3.18%
ROCE
6.5%
ROE
16.1%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How CANBK ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for CANBK, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is CANBK overvalued? CANBK P/E vs its Banking

CANBK's P/E of 6.0× sits below the Banking peer median of 18.2×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 3.18% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.84%.

CANBK P/E
6.0×
Peer median P/E
18.2×
CANBK div yield
3.18%
Peer median yield
0.84%

CANBK share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CANBK history (10%/yr drift, 30%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
CANBK 2027₹95₹140₹207+6%
CANBK 2028₹85₹149₹258+13%
CANBK 2029₹82₹158₹303+19%
CANBK 2030₹78₹167₹358+27%
CANBK 2031₹75₹177₹418+34%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability CANBK goes up, or doubles?

57%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
67%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹264 within 5 years

The bull case for CANBK

  • CANBK's P/E of 6.0x is lower than 93% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.97×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • CANBK's return on equity of 16.1% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • CANBK's dividend yield of 3.2% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹303.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹82.

CANBK volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years CANBK compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 30%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹95-₹207, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

CANBK price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.1%
80% range₹95-₹207
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
19.4%
80% range₹82-₹303
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
34.4%
80% range₹75-₹418
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)28%

CANBK price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
CANBK simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds CANBK hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the CANBK price target & forecast page.

CANBK Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CANBK scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

CANBK MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CANBK with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox26.50%3.8×
Zerodha25.60%3.9×
Groww25.59%3.9×
Dhan23.00%4.3×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST22.99%4.3×
Paytm Money23.70%4.2×
Pocketful30.26%3.3×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand Rathi29.97%3.3×
Bajaj Broking24.00%4.2×
Share India30.05%3.3×

Compare every broker on the CANBK MTF page.

Which ace investors hold CANBK?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

CANBK vs peers,Banking comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
CANBK (this stock)6.0×3.18%₹1.20L Cr
HDFCBANK14.3×1.78%₹11.26L Cr
ICICIBANK18.2×0.84%₹10.20L Cr
SBIN12.0×1.58%₹10.13L Cr
KOTAKBANK19.4×0.17%₹3.89L Cr
INDUSINDBK60.2×0.15%₹79,627 Cr
YESBANK18.9×0.00%₹71,218 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Canara Bank: sector, index & market-cap context

Canara Bank (CANBK) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Banking sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.20L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the CANBK Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Canara Bank's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

CANBK analysis, FAQs

Is Canara Bank (CANBK) a good buy?

On the numbers, Canara Bank (CANBK) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 6.0× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is CANBK overvalued or undervalued?

CANBK trades at 6.0× earnings versus a peer median of 18.2×, so it screens cheaper than its Banking peers.

What is the CANBK share price target for 2031?

CANBK's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹177, with an 80% range of ₹75-₹418 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability CANBK doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of CANBK reaching ₹264 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for CANBK?

CANBK's P/E of 6.0x is lower than 93% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.97×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. CANBK's return on equity of 16.1% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in CANBK?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on CANBK