Case study

COLPAL

Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +8.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

67Score

Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited (COLPAL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is COLPAL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited (COLPAL) trades at ₹2,030,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100.

On the numbers, Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited (COLPAL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing expensive at 128.0× earnings, ROE of 158.0%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

COLPAL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹55,213 Cr
Current price
₹2,030
P/E ratio
128.0×
P/B ratio
167.77×
Book value
₹12
Dividend yield
2.36%
ROCE
179.0%
ROE
158.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How COLPAL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is COLPAL overvalued? COLPAL P/E vs its FMCG

COLPAL's P/E of 128.0× sits above the FMCG peer median of 51.0×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.36% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.96%.

COLPAL P/E
128.0×
Peer median P/E
51.0×
COLPAL div yield
2.36%
Peer median yield
1.96%

COLPAL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of COLPAL history (7%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
COLPAL 2027₹1,601₹2,193₹3,002+8%
COLPAL 2028₹1,508₹2,368₹3,719+17%
COLPAL 2029₹1,484₹2,558₹4,408+26%
COLPAL 2030₹1,484₹2,763₹5,145+36%
COLPAL 2031₹1,473₹2,984₹6,044+47%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability COLPAL goes up, or doubles?

62%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
76%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,060 within 5 years

The bull case for COLPAL

  • COLPAL's return on equity of 158.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • COLPAL's return on capital employed of 179.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • COLPAL's dividend yield of 2.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,193 (+8%).
  • Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,408.

The bear case & risks

  • COLPAL's P/E of 128.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 167.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,484.

COLPAL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years COLPAL compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,601-₹3,002, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

COLPAL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.0%
80% range₹1,601-₹3,002
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
26.0%
80% range₹1,484-₹4,408
P(price ↑)70%
P(price 2×)14%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
47.0%
80% range₹1,473-₹6,044
P(price ↑)76%
P(price 2×)29%

COLPAL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
COLPAL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds COLPAL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the COLPAL price target & forecast page.

COLPAL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. COLPAL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

COLPAL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy COLPAL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox23.88%4.2×
Zerodha23.30%4.3×
Groww23.33%4.3×
Dhan22.00%4.5×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST20.37%4.9×
Paytm Money20.49%4.9×
Pocketful27.20%3.7×
Fyers27.78%3.6×
Anand Rathi27.35%3.7×
Bajaj Broking23.00%4.3×
Share India27.32%3.7×

Compare every broker on the COLPAL MTF page.

COLPAL vs peers,FMCG comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
COLPAL (this stock)128.0×2.36%₹55,213 Cr
ITC18.2×5.07%₹3.58L Cr
HINDUNILVR44.7×1.96%₹4.92L Cr
NESTLEIND80.1×0.78%₹2.97L Cr
TATACONSUM64.9×0.92%₹1.07L Cr
BRITANNIA51.0×1.64%₹1.33L Cr
DABUR36.7×2.01%₹72,732 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited (COLPAL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the FMCG sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹55,213 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the COLPAL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

COLPAL analysis, FAQs

Is Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited (COLPAL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Colgate Palmolive (India) Limited (COLPAL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing expensive at 128.0× earnings, ROE of 158.0%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is COLPAL overvalued or undervalued?

COLPAL trades at 128.0× earnings versus a peer median of 51.0×, so it screens richer than its FMCG peers.

What is the COLPAL share price target for 2031?

COLPAL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,984, with an 80% range of ₹1,473-₹6,044 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability COLPAL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of COLPAL reaching ₹4,060 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for COLPAL?

COLPAL's return on equity of 158.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. COLPAL's return on capital employed of 179.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. COLPAL's dividend yield of 2.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in COLPAL?

COLPAL's P/E of 128.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 167.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on COLPAL