HINDUNILVR
Hindustan Unilever Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Hindustan Unilever Limited (HINDUNILVR) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HINDUNILVR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Hindustan Unilever Limited (HINDUNILVR) trades at ₹2,096,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.
On the numbers, Hindustan Unilever Limited (HINDUNILVR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing expensive at 44.7× earnings, ROE of 31.0%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HINDUNILVR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How HINDUNILVR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- HINDUNILVR's market cap of 4.92L Cr ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HINDUNILVR's book value of ₹207 ranks in the 72nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HINDUNILVR's promoter holding of 61.9% ranks in the 56th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HINDUNILVR's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 14.0% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HINDUNILVR's 3-year revenue growth of 2.0% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HINDUNILVR's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03x is lower than 90% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is HINDUNILVR overvalued? HINDUNILVR P/E vs its FMCG
HINDUNILVR's P/E of 44.7× sits below the FMCG peer median of 51.0×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 1.96% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.90%.
HINDUNILVR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HINDUNILVR history (8%/yr drift, 21%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HINDUNILVR 2027 | ₹1,729 | ₹2,249 | ₹2,924 | +7% |
| HINDUNILVR 2028 | ₹1,656 | ₹2,412 | ₹3,514 | +15% |
| HINDUNILVR 2029 | ₹1,624 | ₹2,588 | ₹4,124 | +23% |
| HINDUNILVR 2030 | ₹1,633 | ₹2,776 | ₹4,719 | +32% |
| HINDUNILVR 2031 | ₹1,644 | ₹2,978 | ₹5,395 | +42% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HINDUNILVR goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HINDUNILVR
- HINDUNILVR's return on equity of 31.0% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HINDUNILVR's return on capital employed of 28.4% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,249 (+7%).
- Relatively low volatility (21%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,124.
The bear case & risks
- HINDUNILVR's P/E of 44.7x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 10.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,624.
HINDUNILVR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years HINDUNILVR compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 21%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,729-₹2,924, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HINDUNILVR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HINDUNILVR price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HINDUNILVR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HINDUNILVR price target & forecast page.
HINDUNILVR Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HINDUNILVR scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
HINDUNILVR MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HINDUNILVR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Zerodha | 22.60% | 4.4× |
| Groww | 22.56% | 4.4× |
| Dhan | 22.00% | 4.5× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Pocketful | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Bajaj Broking | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Share India | 26.50% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the HINDUNILVR MTF page.
HINDUNILVR vs peers,FMCG comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| HINDUNILVR (this stock) | 44.7× | 1.96% | ₹4.92L Cr |
| ITC | 18.2× | 5.07% | ₹3.58L Cr |
| NESTLEIND | 80.1× | 0.78% | ₹2.97L Cr |
| TATACONSUM | 64.9× | 0.92% | ₹1.07L Cr |
| BRITANNIA | 51.0× | 1.64% | ₹1.33L Cr |
| DABUR | 36.7× | 2.01% | ₹72,732 Cr |
| GODREJCP | 51.8× | 1.90% | ₹1.07L Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About Hindustan Unilever Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Hindustan Unilever Limited (HINDUNILVR) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the FMCG sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹4.92L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the HINDUNILVR Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hindustan Unilever Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HINDUNILVR analysis, FAQs
Is Hindustan Unilever Limited (HINDUNILVR) a good buy?
On the numbers, Hindustan Unilever Limited (HINDUNILVR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing expensive at 44.7× earnings, ROE of 31.0%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HINDUNILVR overvalued or undervalued?
HINDUNILVR trades at 44.7× earnings versus a peer median of 51.0×, so it screens cheaper than its FMCG peers.
What is the HINDUNILVR share price target for 2031?
HINDUNILVR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,978, with an 80% range of ₹1,644-₹5,395 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HINDUNILVR doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HINDUNILVR reaching ₹4,192 (2×) within 5 years is 23%.
What is the bull case for HINDUNILVR?
HINDUNILVR's return on equity of 31.0% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HINDUNILVR's return on capital employed of 28.4% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹2,249 (+7%).
What are the risks in HINDUNILVR?
HINDUNILVR's P/E of 44.7x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 10.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.