TATACONSUM
Tata Consumer Products
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tata Consumer Products (TATACONSUM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TATACONSUM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tata Consumer Products (TATACONSUM) trades at ₹1,113,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100.
On the numbers, Tata Consumer Products (TATACONSUM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 71.7× earnings, ROE of 7.3%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TATACONSUM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is TATACONSUM overvalued? TATACONSUM P/E vs its FMCG
TATACONSUM's P/E of 71.7× sits above the FMCG peer median of 49.7×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.90% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.88%.
TATACONSUM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TATACONSUM history (0%/yr drift, 23%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TATACONSUM 2027 | ₹808 | ₹1,081 | ₹1,454 | -3% |
| TATACONSUM 2028 | ₹688 | ₹1,056 | ₹1,606 | -5% |
| TATACONSUM 2029 | ₹620 | ₹1,030 | ₹1,741 | -7% |
| TATACONSUM 2030 | ₹557 | ₹1,015 | ₹1,846 | -9% |
| TATACONSUM 2031 | ₹503 | ₹984 | ₹1,928 | -11% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TATACONSUM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TATACONSUM
- Relatively low volatility (23%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,741.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 71.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 7.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹620.
TATACONSUM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years TATACONSUM compounded at 0%/year with annualized volatility of 23%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹808–₹1,454, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TATACONSUM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TATACONSUM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TATACONSUM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TATACONSUM price target & forecast page.
TATACONSUM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TATACONSUM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
TATACONSUM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATACONSUM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 26.9% | 3.7× |
| Zerodha | 23.0% | 4.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 22.0% | 4.5× |
Compare every broker on the TATACONSUM MTF page.
TATACONSUM vs peers,FMCG comparison
About Tata Consumer Products: sector, index & market-cap context
Tata Consumer Products (TATACONSUM) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the FMCG sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.10L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the TATACONSUM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tata Consumer Products's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TATACONSUM analysis, FAQs
Is Tata Consumer Products (TATACONSUM) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tata Consumer Products (TATACONSUM) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 36/100, weighing expensive at 71.7× earnings, ROE of 7.3%, a 45% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TATACONSUM overvalued or undervalued?
TATACONSUM trades at 71.7× earnings versus a peer median of 49.7×, so it screens richer than its FMCG peers.
What is the TATACONSUM share price target for 2031?
TATACONSUM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹984, with an 80% range of ₹503–₹1,928 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TATACONSUM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TATACONSUM reaching ₹2,223 (2×) within 5 years is 6%.
What is the bull case for TATACONSUM?
Relatively low volatility (23%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in TATACONSUM?
A rich 71.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 7.3%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.