NESTLEIND
NESTLE INDIA LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
NESTLE INDIA LIMITED (NESTLEIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is NESTLEIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
NESTLE INDIA LIMITED (NESTLEIND) trades at ₹1,540,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100.
On the numbers, NESTLE INDIA LIMITED (NESTLEIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing expensive at 80.1× earnings, ROE of 74.2%, a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
The Downstox take on NESTLEIND
The central tension is plain: a business that earns an 85% return on capital and 74% on equity is among the most capital-light franchises on the exchange, yet it sells near 79 times earnings, so almost everything depends on how long that pricing power lasts. What you are really buying is brand durability and the assumption that volumes keep compounding, not a yield, since the payout barely registers. The mild Piotroski score is the nagging footnote here, hinting the year-on-year financial trend may not be as pristine as the headline efficiency. Watch volume growth and gross margins, because at this multiple, slowing offtake is what hurts.
Downstox editorial view, written by our own analysts on 23 Jun 2026. The figures quoted were accurate then; see the live ratios above for today's numbers. Information, not investment advice.
NESTLEIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How NESTLEIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- NESTLEIND's market cap of 2.97L Cr ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESTLEIND's book value of ₹27 ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESTLEIND's promoter holding of 62.8% ranks in the 58th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESTLEIND's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 12.0% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESTLEIND's 3-year revenue growth of 12.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESTLEIND's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09x is lower than 79% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is NESTLEIND overvalued? NESTLEIND P/E vs its FMCG
NESTLEIND's P/E of 80.1× sits above the FMCG peer median of 51.0×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.78% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.90%.
NESTLEIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of NESTLEIND history (15%/yr drift, 20%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NESTLEIND 2027 | ₹1,315 | ₹1,694 | ₹2,182 | +10% |
| NESTLEIND 2028 | ₹1,306 | ₹1,863 | ₹2,658 | +21% |
| NESTLEIND 2029 | ₹1,320 | ₹2,049 | ₹3,180 | +33% |
| NESTLEIND 2030 | ₹1,356 | ₹2,253 | ₹3,743 | +46% |
| NESTLEIND 2031 | ₹1,405 | ₹2,478 | ₹4,370 | +61% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability NESTLEIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for NESTLEIND
- NESTLEIND's return on equity of 74.2% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- NESTLEIND's return on capital employed of 85.3% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,694 (+10%).
- Relatively low volatility (20%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,180.
The bear case & risks
- NESTLEIND's P/E of 80.1x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 57.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,320.
NESTLEIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years NESTLEIND compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 20%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,315-₹2,182, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
NESTLEIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
NESTLEIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds NESTLEIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the NESTLEIND price target & forecast page.
NESTLEIND Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. NESTLEIND scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
NESTLEIND MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy NESTLEIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Zerodha | 22.60% | 4.4× |
| Groww | 22.56% | 4.4× |
| Dhan | 22.00% | 4.5× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Pocketful | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Fyers | 27.03% | 3.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Bajaj Broking | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Share India | 26.50% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the NESTLEIND MTF page.
NESTLEIND vs peers,FMCG comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| NESTLEIND (this stock) | 80.1× | 0.78% | ₹2.97L Cr |
| ITC | 18.2× | 5.07% | ₹3.58L Cr |
| HINDUNILVR | 44.7× | 1.96% | ₹4.92L Cr |
| TATACONSUM | 64.9× | 0.92% | ₹1.07L Cr |
| BRITANNIA | 51.0× | 1.64% | ₹1.33L Cr |
| DABUR | 36.7× | 2.01% | ₹72,732 Cr |
| GODREJCP | 51.8× | 1.90% | ₹1.07L Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About NESTLE INDIA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
NESTLE INDIA LIMITED (NESTLEIND) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the FMCG sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹2.97L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the NESTLEIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NESTLE INDIA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
NESTLEIND analysis, FAQs
Is NESTLE INDIA LIMITED (NESTLEIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, NESTLE INDIA LIMITED (NESTLEIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 63/100, weighing expensive at 80.1× earnings, ROE of 74.2%, a 68% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is NESTLEIND overvalued or undervalued?
NESTLEIND trades at 80.1× earnings versus a peer median of 51.0×, so it screens richer than its FMCG peers.
What is the NESTLEIND share price target for 2031?
NESTLEIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,478, with an 80% range of ₹1,405-₹4,370 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability NESTLEIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of NESTLEIND reaching ₹3,080 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for NESTLEIND?
NESTLEIND's return on equity of 74.2% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. NESTLEIND's return on capital employed of 85.3% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 68% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,694 (+10%).
What are the risks in NESTLEIND?
NESTLEIND's P/E of 80.1x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 57.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.