Case study

DABUR

Dabur India Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +7.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

66Score

Dabur India Limited (DABUR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is DABUR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Dabur India Limited (DABUR) trades at ₹410,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100.

On the numbers, Dabur India Limited (DABUR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing premium at 36.7× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

DABUR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹72,732 Cr
Current price
₹410
P/E ratio
36.7×
P/B ratio
6.37×
Book value
₹64
Dividend yield
2.01%
ROCE
20.3%
ROE
17.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How DABUR ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener

Is DABUR overvalued? DABUR P/E vs its FMCG

DABUR's P/E of 36.7× sits below the FMCG peer median of 51.0×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 2.01% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.90%.

DABUR P/E
36.7×
Peer median P/E
51.0×
DABUR div yield
2.01%
Peer median yield
1.90%

DABUR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of DABUR history (3%/yr drift, 23%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
DABUR 2027₹330₹439₹585+7%
DABUR 2028₹312₹470₹709+15%
DABUR 2029₹306₹504₹830+23%
DABUR 2030₹306₹540₹953+32%
DABUR 2031₹302₹578₹1,107+41%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability DABUR goes up, or doubles?

62%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
75%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹820 within 5 years

The bull case for DABUR

  • DABUR's return on equity of 17.0% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • DABUR's return on capital employed of 20.3% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • DABUR's dividend yield of 2.0% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹439 (+7%).
  • Relatively low volatility (23%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹830.

The bear case & risks

  • DABUR's P/E of 36.7x is lower than 37% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹306.

DABUR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years DABUR compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 23%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹330-₹585, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

DABUR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.1%
80% range₹330-₹585
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
22.9%
80% range₹306-₹830
P(price ↑)70%
P(price 2×)11%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
41.0%
80% range₹302-₹1,107
P(price ↑)75%
P(price 2×)24%

DABUR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
DABUR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds DABUR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the DABUR price target & forecast page.

DABUR Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. DABUR scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

DABUR MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy DABUR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox23.27%4.3×
Zerodha22.80%4.4×
Groww22.81%4.4×
Dhan22.00%4.5×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST20.00%5.0×
Paytm Money20.77%4.8×
Pocketful26.81%3.7×
Anand Rathi26.75%3.7×
Bajaj Broking23.00%4.3×
Share India26.66%3.8×

Compare every broker on the DABUR MTF page.

DABUR vs peers,FMCG comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
DABUR (this stock)36.7×2.01%₹72,732 Cr
ITC18.2×5.07%₹3.58L Cr
HINDUNILVR44.7×1.96%₹4.92L Cr
NESTLEIND80.1×0.78%₹2.97L Cr
TATACONSUM66.0×0.92%₹1.09L Cr
BRITANNIA51.0×1.64%₹1.33L Cr
GODREJCP51.8×1.90%₹1.07L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 8 Aug 2026

About Dabur India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Dabur India Limited (DABUR) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the FMCG sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹72,732 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the DABUR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Dabur India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

DABUR analysis, FAQs

Is Dabur India Limited (DABUR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Dabur India Limited (DABUR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing premium at 36.7× earnings, ROE of 17.0%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is DABUR overvalued or undervalued?

DABUR trades at 36.7× earnings versus a peer median of 51.0×, so it screens cheaper than its FMCG peers.

What is the DABUR share price target for 2031?

DABUR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹578, with an 80% range of ₹302-₹1,107 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability DABUR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of DABUR reaching ₹820 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for DABUR?

DABUR's return on equity of 17.0% ranks in the 78th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. DABUR's return on capital employed of 20.3% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. DABUR's dividend yield of 2.0% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in DABUR?

DABUR's P/E of 36.7x is lower than 37% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.

More on DABUR