GODREJCP
Godrej Consumer Products
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Godrej Consumer Products (GODREJCP) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GODREJCP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Godrej Consumer Products (GODREJCP) trades at ₹1,020,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Godrej Consumer Products (GODREJCP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 51.4× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 22% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GODREJCP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is GODREJCP overvalued? GODREJCP P/E vs its FMCG
GODREJCP's P/E of 51.4× sits above the FMCG peer median of 49.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.96% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.88%.
GODREJCP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of GODREJCP history (-16%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GODREJCP 2027 | ₹587 | ₹817 | ₹1,142 | -18% |
| GODREJCP 2028 | ₹422 | ₹672 | ₹1,076 | -33% |
| GODREJCP 2029 | ₹315 | ₹553 | ₹985 | -45% |
| GODREJCP 2030 | ₹238 | ₹457 | ₹878 | -54% |
| GODREJCP 2031 | ₹183 | ₹374 | ₹778 | -63% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GODREJCP goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GODREJCP
- A healthy 16.5% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (19.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹985.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 51.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 8.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 22% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹315.
GODREJCP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years GODREJCP compounded at -16%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹587–₹1,142, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GODREJCP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GODREJCP price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GODREJCP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GODREJCP price target & forecast page.
GODREJCP Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. GODREJCP scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
GODREJCP MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GODREJCP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 27.6% | 3.6× |
| Zerodha | 23.6% | 4.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 22.0% | 4.5× |
Compare every broker on the GODREJCP MTF page.
GODREJCP vs peers,FMCG comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| GODREJCP (this stock) | 51.4× | 1.96% | ₹1.04L Cr |
| ITC | 17.4× | 4.98% | ₹3.64L Cr |
| HINDUNILVR | 33.7× | 1.88% | ₹5.13L Cr |
| NESTLEIND | 79.4× | 0.86% | ₹2.70L Cr |
| TATACONSUM | 71.7× | 0.90% | ₹1.10L Cr |
| BRITANNIA | 49.7× | 1.73% | ₹1.26L Cr |
| DABUR | 39.3× | 1.95% | ₹74,879 Cr |
About Godrej Consumer Products: sector, index & market-cap context
Godrej Consumer Products (GODREJCP) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the FMCG sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.04L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the GODREJCP Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Godrej Consumer Products's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GODREJCP analysis, FAQs
Is Godrej Consumer Products (GODREJCP) a good buy?
On the numbers, Godrej Consumer Products (GODREJCP) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 51.4× earnings, ROE of 16.5%, a 22% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GODREJCP overvalued or undervalued?
GODREJCP trades at 51.4× earnings versus a peer median of 49.7×, so it screens richer than its FMCG peers.
What is the GODREJCP share price target for 2031?
GODREJCP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹374, with an 80% range of ₹183–₹778 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GODREJCP doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GODREJCP reaching ₹2,001 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for GODREJCP?
A healthy 16.5% return on equity. Strong ROCE (19.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in GODREJCP?
A rich 51.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 8.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 22% chance of finishing above today's price.