Case study

GODREJCP

Godrej Consumer Products Limited

Mixed signals1y model +7.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

53Score

Godrej Consumer Products Limited (GODREJCP) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is GODREJCP a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Godrej Consumer Products Limited (GODREJCP) trades at ₹1,050,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100.

On the numbers, Godrej Consumer Products Limited (GODREJCP) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing expensive at 51.8× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

GODREJCP fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.07L Cr
Current price
₹1,050
P/E ratio
51.8×
P/B ratio
8.47×
Book value
₹124
Dividend yield
1.90%
ROCE
18.8%
ROE
16.1%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How GODREJCP ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is GODREJCP overvalued? GODREJCP P/E vs its FMCG

GODREJCP's P/E of 51.8× sits above the FMCG peer median of 51.0×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.90% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.90%.

GODREJCP P/E
51.8×
Peer median P/E
51.0×
GODREJCP div yield
1.90%
Peer median yield
1.90%

GODREJCP share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GODREJCP history (7%/yr drift, 25%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
GODREJCP 2027₹816₹1,127₹1,557+7%
GODREJCP 2028₹766₹1,210₹1,913+15%
GODREJCP 2029₹742₹1,300₹2,277+24%
GODREJCP 2030₹726₹1,395₹2,683+33%
GODREJCP 2031₹716₹1,498₹3,134+43%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability GODREJCP goes up, or doubles?

61%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
73%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,100 within 5 years

The bull case for GODREJCP

  • GODREJCP's return on equity of 16.1% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • GODREJCP's return on capital employed of 18.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,127 (+7%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,277.

The bear case & risks

  • GODREJCP's P/E of 51.8x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹742.

GODREJCP volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years GODREJCP compounded at 7%/year with annualized volatility of 25%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹816-₹1,557, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

GODREJCP price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.4%
80% range₹816-₹1,557
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
23.8%
80% range₹742-₹2,277
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)14%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
42.7%
80% range₹716-₹3,134
P(price ↑)73%
P(price 2×)28%

GODREJCP price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
GODREJCP simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds GODREJCP hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the GODREJCP price target & forecast page.

GODREJCP Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GODREJCP scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

GODREJCP MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GODREJCP with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox23.91%4.2×
Zerodha23.40%4.3×
Groww23.36%4.3×
Dhan22.00%4.5×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST20.45%4.9×
Paytm Money21.34%4.7×
Pocketful27.60%3.6×
Fyers27.78%3.6×
Anand Rathi27.45%3.6×
Bajaj Broking23.00%4.3×
Share India27.40%3.6×

Compare every broker on the GODREJCP MTF page.

GODREJCP vs peers,FMCG comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
GODREJCP (this stock)51.8×1.90%₹1.07L Cr
ITC18.2×5.07%₹3.58L Cr
HINDUNILVR44.7×1.96%₹4.92L Cr
NESTLEIND80.1×0.78%₹2.97L Cr
TATACONSUM64.9×0.92%₹1.07L Cr
BRITANNIA51.0×1.64%₹1.33L Cr
DABUR36.7×2.01%₹72,732 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Godrej Consumer Products Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Godrej Consumer Products Limited (GODREJCP) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the FMCG sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.07L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the GODREJCP Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Godrej Consumer Products Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

GODREJCP analysis, FAQs

Is Godrej Consumer Products Limited (GODREJCP) a good buy?

On the numbers, Godrej Consumer Products Limited (GODREJCP) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 53/100, weighing expensive at 51.8× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is GODREJCP overvalued or undervalued?

GODREJCP trades at 51.8× earnings versus a peer median of 51.0×, so it screens richer than its FMCG peers.

What is the GODREJCP share price target for 2031?

GODREJCP's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,498, with an 80% range of ₹716-₹3,134 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability GODREJCP doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of GODREJCP reaching ₹2,100 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for GODREJCP?

GODREJCP's return on equity of 16.1% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. GODREJCP's return on capital employed of 18.8% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,127 (+7%).

What are the risks in GODREJCP?

GODREJCP's P/E of 51.8x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on GODREJCP