EICHERMOT
Eicher Motors
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Eicher Motors (EICHERMOT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is EICHERMOT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Eicher Motors (EICHERMOT) trades at ₹7,640,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100.
On the numbers, Eicher Motors (EICHERMOT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing premium at 37.6× earnings, ROE of 24.0%, a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
EICHERMOT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is EICHERMOT overvalued? EICHERMOT P/E vs its Auto
EICHERMOT's P/E of 37.6× sits above the Auto peer median of 26.4×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.92% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.08%.
EICHERMOT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of EICHERMOT history (23%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EICHERMOT 2027 | ₹6,646 | ₹9,261 | ₹12,924 | +22% |
| EICHERMOT 2028 | ₹7,101 | ₹11,249 | ₹17,948 | +48% |
| EICHERMOT 2029 | ₹7,646 | ₹13,801 | ₹24,183 | +81% |
| EICHERMOT 2030 | ₹8,564 | ₹16,585 | ₹32,516 | +118% |
| EICHERMOT 2031 | ₹9,637 | ₹20,277 | ₹42,450 | +166% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability EICHERMOT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for EICHERMOT
- High return on equity (24.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (30.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹9,261 (+22%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹24,183.
The bear case & risks
- At 37.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- A steep 8.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹7,646.
EICHERMOT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years EICHERMOT compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹6,646–₹12,924, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
EICHERMOT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
EICHERMOT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds EICHERMOT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the EICHERMOT price target & forecast page.
EICHERMOT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. EICHERMOT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
EICHERMOT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EICHERMOT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 28.5% | 3.5× |
| Zerodha | 24.3% | 4.1× |
| Groww | 24.4% | 4.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 22.5% | 4.4× |
Compare every broker on the EICHERMOT MTF page.
EICHERMOT vs peers,Auto comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| EICHERMOT (this stock) | 37.6× | 0.92% | ₹2.09L Cr |
| MARUTI | 28.8× | 1.04% | ₹4.22L Cr |
| HEROMOTOCO | 17.1× | 3.71% | ₹99,728 Cr |
| M&M | 21.5× | 1.08% | ₹3.81L Cr |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 26.4× | 1.47% | ₹2.85L Cr |
| TVSMOTOR | 54.4× | 0.34% | ₹1.66L Cr |
| ASHOKLEY | 24.8× | 2.23% | ₹92,308 Cr |
About Eicher Motors: sector, index & market-cap context
Eicher Motors (EICHERMOT) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Auto sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2.09L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the EICHERMOT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Eicher Motors's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
EICHERMOT analysis, FAQs
Is Eicher Motors (EICHERMOT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Eicher Motors (EICHERMOT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing premium at 37.6× earnings, ROE of 24.0%, a 77% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is EICHERMOT overvalued or undervalued?
EICHERMOT trades at 37.6× earnings versus a peer median of 26.4×, so it screens richer than its Auto peers.
What is the EICHERMOT share price target for 2031?
EICHERMOT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹20,277, with an 80% range of ₹9,637–₹42,450 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability EICHERMOT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of EICHERMOT reaching ₹15,222 (2×) within 5 years is 69%.
What is the bull case for EICHERMOT?
High return on equity (24.0%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (30.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 77% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹9,261 (+22%).
What are the risks in EICHERMOT?
At 37.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A steep 8.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.