Case study

EICHERMOT

Eicher Motors Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +8.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

66Score

Eicher Motors Limited (EICHERMOT) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is EICHERMOT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Eicher Motors Limited (EICHERMOT) trades at ₹8,020,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100.

On the numbers, Eicher Motors Limited (EICHERMOT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing premium at 37.8× earnings, ROE of 24.0%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

EICHERMOT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2.20L Cr
Current price
₹8,020
P/E ratio
37.8×
P/B ratio
8.77×
Book value
₹915
Dividend yield
1.02%
ROCE
30.5%
ROE
24.0%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How EICHERMOT ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is EICHERMOT overvalued? EICHERMOT P/E vs its Auto

EICHERMOT's P/E of 37.8× sits above the Auto peer median of 28.7×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.02% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.02%.

EICHERMOT P/E
37.8×
Peer median P/E
28.7×
EICHERMOT div yield
1.02%
Peer median yield
1.02%

EICHERMOT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of EICHERMOT history (13%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
EICHERMOT 2027₹6,204₹8,725₹12,271+9%
EICHERMOT 2028₹5,891₹9,492₹15,296+18%
EICHERMOT 2029₹5,724₹10,327₹18,632+29%
EICHERMOT 2030₹5,695₹11,235₹22,162+40%
EICHERMOT 2031₹5,729₹12,223₹26,075+52%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability EICHERMOT goes up, or doubles?

63%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
76%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹16,040 within 5 years

The bull case for EICHERMOT

  • EICHERMOT's return on equity of 24.0% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • EICHERMOT's return on capital employed of 30.5% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹8,725 (+9%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹18,632.

The bear case & risks

  • EICHERMOT's P/E of 37.8x is lower than 36% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 8.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹5,724.

EICHERMOT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years EICHERMOT compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹6,204-₹12,271, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

EICHERMOT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.8%
80% range₹6,204-₹12,271
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
28.8%
80% range₹5,724-₹18,632
P(price ↑)71%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
52.4%
80% range₹5,729-₹26,075
P(price ↑)76%
P(price 2×)33%

EICHERMOT price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
EICHERMOT simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds EICHERMOT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the EICHERMOT price target & forecast page.

EICHERMOT Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. EICHERMOT scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

EICHERMOT MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EICHERMOT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox24.78%4.0×
Zerodha24.10%4.1×
Groww24.12%4.1×
Dhan22.50%4.4×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST21.28%4.7×
Paytm Money21.79%4.6×
Pocketful28.45%3.5×
Anand Rathi28.26%3.5×
Bajaj Broking23.00%4.3×
Share India28.34%3.5×

Compare every broker on the EICHERMOT MTF page.

EICHERMOT vs peers,Auto comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
EICHERMOT (this stock)37.8×1.02%₹2.20L Cr
MARUTI30.8×1.00%₹4.41L Cr
HEROMOTOCO20.7×3.23%₹1.15L Cr
M&M22.7×0.94%₹4.35L Cr
BAJAJ-AUTO27.2×1.29%₹3.20L Cr
TVSMOTOR61.0×0.27%₹2.11L Cr
ASHOKLEY28.7×1.97%₹1.04L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Eicher Motors Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Eicher Motors Limited (EICHERMOT) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Auto sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹2.20L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the EICHERMOT Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Eicher Motors Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

EICHERMOT analysis, FAQs

Is Eicher Motors Limited (EICHERMOT) a good buy?

On the numbers, Eicher Motors Limited (EICHERMOT) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 66/100, weighing premium at 37.8× earnings, ROE of 24.0%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is EICHERMOT overvalued or undervalued?

EICHERMOT trades at 37.8× earnings versus a peer median of 28.7×, so it screens richer than its Auto peers.

What is the EICHERMOT share price target for 2031?

EICHERMOT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹12,223, with an 80% range of ₹5,729-₹26,075 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability EICHERMOT doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of EICHERMOT reaching ₹16,040 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for EICHERMOT?

EICHERMOT's return on equity of 24.0% ranks in the 89th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. EICHERMOT's return on capital employed of 30.5% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹8,725 (+9%).

What are the risks in EICHERMOT?

EICHERMOT's P/E of 37.8x is lower than 36% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 8.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on EICHERMOT