HEROMOTOCO
HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED (HEROMOTOCO) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HEROMOTOCO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED (HEROMOTOCO) trades at ₹5,725,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.
On the numbers, HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED (HEROMOTOCO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.7× earnings, ROE of 28.1%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HEROMOTOCO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How HEROMOTOCO ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- HEROMOTOCO's market cap of 1.15L Cr ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEROMOTOCO's book value of ₹1,080 ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEROMOTOCO's promoter holding of 34.7% ranks in the 12th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEROMOTOCO's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 28.0% ranks in the 67th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEROMOTOCO's 3-year revenue growth of 12.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEROMOTOCO's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04x is lower than 88% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is HEROMOTOCO overvalued? HEROMOTOCO P/E vs its Auto
HEROMOTOCO's P/E of 20.7× sits below the Auto peer median of 28.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 3.23% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.02%.
HEROMOTOCO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HEROMOTOCO history (5%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEROMOTOCO 2027 | ₹4,222 | ₹5,944 | ₹8,370 | +4% |
| HEROMOTOCO 2028 | ₹3,867 | ₹6,172 | ₹9,851 | +8% |
| HEROMOTOCO 2029 | ₹3,571 | ₹6,409 | ₹11,502 | +12% |
| HEROMOTOCO 2030 | ₹3,416 | ₹6,655 | ₹12,962 | +16% |
| HEROMOTOCO 2031 | ₹3,275 | ₹6,910 | ₹14,577 | +21% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HEROMOTOCO goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HEROMOTOCO
- HEROMOTOCO's P/E of 20.7x is lower than 61% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEROMOTOCO's return on equity of 28.1% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEROMOTOCO's return on capital employed of 35.2% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- HEROMOTOCO's dividend yield of 3.2% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹11,502.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3,571.
HEROMOTOCO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years HEROMOTOCO compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹4,222-₹8,370, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HEROMOTOCO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HEROMOTOCO price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HEROMOTOCO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HEROMOTOCO price target & forecast page.
HEROMOTOCO Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HEROMOTOCO scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
HEROMOTOCO MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HEROMOTOCO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 24.55% | 4.1× |
| Zerodha | 24.00% | 4.2× |
| Groww | 23.88% | 4.2× |
| Dhan | 22.50% | 4.4× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 21.05% | 4.8× |
| Paytm Money | 21.61% | 4.6× |
| Pocketful | 27.91% | 3.6× |
| Anand Rathi | 28.11% | 3.6× |
| Bajaj Broking | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Share India | 27.98% | 3.6× |
Compare every broker on the HEROMOTOCO MTF page.
HEROMOTOCO vs peers,Auto comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| HEROMOTOCO (this stock) | 20.7× | 3.23% | ₹1.15L Cr |
| MARUTI | 30.8× | 1.00% | ₹4.41L Cr |
| EICHERMOT | 37.8× | 1.02% | ₹2.20L Cr |
| M&M | 22.7× | 0.94% | ₹4.35L Cr |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 27.2× | 1.29% | ₹3.20L Cr |
| TVSMOTOR | 61.0× | 0.27% | ₹2.11L Cr |
| ASHOKLEY | 28.7× | 1.97% | ₹1.04L Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED (HEROMOTOCO) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Auto sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.15L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the HEROMOTOCO Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HEROMOTOCO analysis, FAQs
Is HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED (HEROMOTOCO) a good buy?
On the numbers, HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED (HEROMOTOCO) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 20.7× earnings, ROE of 28.1%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HEROMOTOCO overvalued or undervalued?
HEROMOTOCO trades at 20.7× earnings versus a peer median of 28.7×, so it screens cheaper than its Auto peers.
What is the HEROMOTOCO share price target for 2031?
HEROMOTOCO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹6,910, with an 80% range of ₹3,275-₹14,577 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HEROMOTOCO doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HEROMOTOCO reaching ₹11,450 (2×) within 5 years is 19%.
What is the bull case for HEROMOTOCO?
HEROMOTOCO's P/E of 20.7x is lower than 61% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HEROMOTOCO's return on equity of 28.1% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HEROMOTOCO's return on capital employed of 35.2% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in HEROMOTOCO?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.