Case study

TVSMOTOR

Tvs Motor Company Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +12.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

56Score

Tvs Motor Company Limited (TVSMOTOR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TVSMOTOR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Tvs Motor Company Limited (TVSMOTOR) trades at ₹4,441,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100.

On the numbers, Tvs Motor Company Limited (TVSMOTOR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing expensive at 61.0× earnings, ROE of 33.6%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TVSMOTOR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2.11L Cr
Current price
₹4,441
P/E ratio
61.0×
P/B ratio
22.09×
Book value
₹201
Dividend yield
0.27%
ROCE
17.4%
ROE
33.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How TVSMOTOR ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TVSMOTOR overvalued? TVSMOTOR P/E vs its Auto

TVSMOTOR's P/E of 61.0× sits above the Auto peer median of 28.7×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.27% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.02%.

TVSMOTOR P/E
61.0×
Peer median P/E
28.7×
TVSMOTOR div yield
0.27%
Peer median yield
1.02%

TVSMOTOR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TVSMOTOR history (27%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TVSMOTOR 2027₹3,494₹4,997₹7,147+13%
TVSMOTOR 2028₹3,430₹5,624₹9,219+27%
TVSMOTOR 2029₹3,435₹6,328₹11,657+42%
TVSMOTOR 2030₹3,509₹7,121₹14,453+60%
TVSMOTOR 2031₹3,634₹8,013₹17,672+80%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TVSMOTOR goes up, or doubles?

66%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
83%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
43%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹8,882 within 5 years

The bull case for TVSMOTOR

  • TVSMOTOR's return on equity of 33.6% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹4,997 (+13%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹11,657.

The bear case & risks

  • TVSMOTOR's P/E of 61.0x is lower than 20% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 22.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3,435.

TVSMOTOR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TVSMOTOR compounded at 27%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹3,494-₹7,147, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TVSMOTOR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
12.5%
80% range₹3,494-₹7,147
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
42.5%
80% range₹3,435-₹11,657
P(price ↑)77%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
80.4%
80% range₹3,634-₹17,672
P(price ↑)83%
P(price 2×)43%

TVSMOTOR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TVSMOTOR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TVSMOTOR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TVSMOTOR price target & forecast page.

TVSMOTOR Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TVSMOTOR scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

TVSMOTOR MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TVSMOTOR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox25.49%3.9×
Zerodha24.70%4.0×
Groww24.69%4.1×
Dhan22.50%4.4×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST21.98%4.5×
Paytm Money22.10%4.5×
Pocketful28.65%3.5×
Anand Rathi28.98%3.5×
Bajaj Broking22.00%4.5×
Share India29.00%3.4×

Compare every broker on the TVSMOTOR MTF page.

TVSMOTOR vs peers,Auto comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
TVSMOTOR (this stock)61.0×0.27%₹2.11L Cr
MARUTI30.8×1.00%₹4.41L Cr
EICHERMOT37.8×1.02%₹2.20L Cr
HEROMOTOCO20.7×3.23%₹1.15L Cr
M&M22.7×0.94%₹4.35L Cr
BAJAJ-AUTO27.2×1.29%₹3.20L Cr
ASHOKLEY28.7×1.97%₹1.04L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Tvs Motor Company Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Tvs Motor Company Limited (TVSMOTOR) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Auto sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹2.11L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TVSMOTOR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tvs Motor Company Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TVSMOTOR analysis, FAQs

Is Tvs Motor Company Limited (TVSMOTOR) a good buy?

On the numbers, Tvs Motor Company Limited (TVSMOTOR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 56/100, weighing expensive at 61.0× earnings, ROE of 33.6%, a 66% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TVSMOTOR overvalued or undervalued?

TVSMOTOR trades at 61.0× earnings versus a peer median of 28.7×, so it screens richer than its Auto peers.

What is the TVSMOTOR share price target for 2031?

TVSMOTOR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹8,013, with an 80% range of ₹3,634-₹17,672 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TVSMOTOR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TVSMOTOR reaching ₹8,882 (2×) within 5 years is 43%.

What is the bull case for TVSMOTOR?

TVSMOTOR's return on equity of 33.6% ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 66% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹4,997 (+13%).

What are the risks in TVSMOTOR?

TVSMOTOR's P/E of 61.0x is lower than 20% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 22.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on TVSMOTOR