Case study

EMAMILTD

EMAMI LIMITED

Screens attractive1y model +4.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

72Score

EMAMI LIMITED (EMAMILTD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is EMAMILTD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

EMAMI LIMITED (EMAMILTD) trades at ₹413,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.

On the numbers, EMAMI LIMITED (EMAMILTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.8× earnings, ROE of 26.2%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

EMAMILTD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹18,008 Cr
Current price
₹413
P/E ratio
23.8×
P/B ratio
6.16×
Book value
₹67
Dividend yield
2.42%
ROCE
28.1%
ROE
26.2%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How EMAMILTD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is EMAMILTD overvalued? EMAMILTD P/E vs its FMCG

EMAMILTD's P/E of 23.8× sits below the FMCG peer median of 44.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 2.42% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.96%.

EMAMILTD P/E
23.8×
Peer median P/E
44.7×
EMAMILTD div yield
2.42%
Peer median yield
1.96%

EMAMILTD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of EMAMILTD history (-3%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
EMAMILTD 2027₹287₹431₹648+5%
EMAMILTD 2028₹256₹451₹794+9%
EMAMILTD 2029₹236₹472₹943+14%
EMAMILTD 2030₹223₹493₹1,090+20%
EMAMILTD 2031₹211₹516₹1,260+25%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability EMAMILTD goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
62%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹825 within 5 years

The bull case for EMAMILTD

  • EMAMILTD's P/E of 23.8x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • EMAMILTD's return on equity of 26.2% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • EMAMILTD's return on capital employed of 28.1% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • EMAMILTD's dividend yield of 2.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹943.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹236.

EMAMILTD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years EMAMILTD compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹287-₹648, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

EMAMILTD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.6%
80% range₹287-₹648
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.3%
80% range₹236-₹943
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)15%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
25.0%
80% range₹211-₹1,260
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)25%

EMAMILTD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
EMAMILTD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds EMAMILTD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the EMAMILTD price target & forecast page.

EMAMILTD Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. EMAMILTD scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

EMAMILTD MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy EMAMILTD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox29.02%3.4×
Zerodha29.00%3.4×
Groww29.03%3.4×
Dhan29.00%3.4×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money31.02%3.2×
Pocketful29.02%3.4×
Anand Rathi29.00%3.4×
Bajaj Broking32.00%3.1×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST28.91%3.5×

Compare every broker on the EMAMILTD MTF page.

EMAMILTD vs peers,FMCG comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
EMAMILTD (this stock)23.8×2.42%₹18,008 Cr
ITC18.2×5.07%₹3.58L Cr
HINDUNILVR44.7×1.96%₹4.92L Cr
NESTLEIND80.1×0.78%₹2.97L Cr
TATACONSUM64.9×0.92%₹1.07L Cr
BRITANNIA51.0×1.64%₹1.33L Cr
DABUR36.7×2.01%₹72,732 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About EMAMI LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

EMAMI LIMITED (EMAMILTD) is a small-cap NSE-listed company in the FMCG sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,008 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the EMAMILTD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of EMAMI LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

EMAMILTD analysis, FAQs

Is EMAMI LIMITED (EMAMILTD) a good buy?

On the numbers, EMAMI LIMITED (EMAMILTD) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.8× earnings, ROE of 26.2%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is EMAMILTD overvalued or undervalued?

EMAMILTD trades at 23.8× earnings versus a peer median of 44.7×, so it screens cheaper than its FMCG peers.

What is the EMAMILTD share price target for 2031?

EMAMILTD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹516, with an 80% range of ₹211-₹1,260 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability EMAMILTD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of EMAMILTD reaching ₹825 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for EMAMILTD?

EMAMILTD's P/E of 23.8x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. EMAMILTD's return on equity of 26.2% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. EMAMILTD's return on capital employed of 28.1% ranks in the 91st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in EMAMILTD?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on EMAMILTD