HYUNDAI
HYUNDAI MOTOR INDIA LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HYUNDAI MOTOR INDIA LTD (HYUNDAI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HYUNDAI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HYUNDAI MOTOR INDIA LTD (HYUNDAI) trades at ₹1,989,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, HYUNDAI MOTOR INDIA LTD (HYUNDAI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 29.8× earnings, ROE of 29.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HYUNDAI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HYUNDAI overvalued? HYUNDAI P/E vs its Auto
HYUNDAI's P/E of 29.8× sits above the Auto peer median of 28.8×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.06% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.06%.
HYUNDAI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.6y of HYUNDAI history (5%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HYUNDAI 2027 | ₹1,361 | ₹1,991 | ₹2,895 | +1% |
| HYUNDAI 2028 | ₹1,172 | ₹2,002 | ₹3,393 | +1% |
| HYUNDAI 2029 | ₹1,050 | ₹2,010 | ₹3,865 | +2% |
| HYUNDAI 2030 | ₹954 | ₹2,025 | ₹4,280 | +3% |
| HYUNDAI 2031 | ₹890 | ₹2,061 | ₹4,746 | +4% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HYUNDAI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HYUNDAI
- High return on equity (29.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (38.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,865.
The bear case & risks
- At 29.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- A steep 8.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,050.
HYUNDAI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.6 years HYUNDAI compounded at 5%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,361–₹2,895, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HYUNDAI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HYUNDAI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HYUNDAI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HYUNDAI price target & forecast page.
HYUNDAI Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HYUNDAI scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HYUNDAI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HYUNDAI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 28.4% | 3.5× |
| Zerodha | 24.3% | 4.1× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 24.0% | 4.2× |
Compare every broker on the HYUNDAI MTF page.
HYUNDAI vs peers,Auto comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| HYUNDAI (this stock) | 29.8× | 1.06% | ₹1.62L Cr |
| MARUTI | 28.8× | 1.04% | ₹4.22L Cr |
| EICHERMOT | 37.6× | 0.92% | ₹2.09L Cr |
| HEROMOTOCO | 17.1× | 3.71% | ₹99,728 Cr |
| M&M | 21.5× | 1.08% | ₹3.81L Cr |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | 26.4× | 1.47% | ₹2.85L Cr |
| TVSMOTOR | 54.4× | 0.34% | ₹1.66L Cr |
About HYUNDAI MOTOR INDIA LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
HYUNDAI MOTOR INDIA LTD (HYUNDAI) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Auto sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.62L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the HYUNDAI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HYUNDAI MOTOR INDIA LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HYUNDAI analysis, FAQs
Is HYUNDAI MOTOR INDIA LTD (HYUNDAI) a good buy?
On the numbers, HYUNDAI MOTOR INDIA LTD (HYUNDAI) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 29.8× earnings, ROE of 29.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HYUNDAI overvalued or undervalued?
HYUNDAI trades at 29.8× earnings versus a peer median of 28.8×, so it screens richer than its Auto peers.
What is the HYUNDAI share price target for 2031?
HYUNDAI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,061, with an 80% range of ₹890–₹4,746 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HYUNDAI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HYUNDAI reaching ₹3,946 (2×) within 5 years is 16%.
What is the bull case for HYUNDAI?
High return on equity (29.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (38.4%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in HYUNDAI?
At 29.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A steep 8.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.