MUTHOOTFIN
MUTHOOT FINANCE LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MUTHOOT FINANCE LIMITED (MUTHOOTFIN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MUTHOOTFIN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MUTHOOT FINANCE LIMITED (MUTHOOTFIN) trades at ₹2,890,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.
On the numbers, MUTHOOT FINANCE LIMITED (MUTHOOTFIN) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.2× earnings, ROE of 30.9%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MUTHOOTFIN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MUTHOOTFIN ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MUTHOOTFIN's market cap of 1.16L Cr ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MUTHOOTFIN's book value of ₹1,011 ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MUTHOOTFIN's promoter holding of 73.4% ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MUTHOOTFIN's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 43.0% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MUTHOOTFIN's 3-year revenue growth of 38.0% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for MUTHOOTFIN, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is MUTHOOTFIN overvalued? MUTHOOTFIN P/E vs its NBFC
MUTHOOTFIN's P/E of 10.2× sits below the NBFC peer median of 16.1×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 1.04% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.04%.
MUTHOOTFIN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MUTHOOTFIN history (20%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUTHOOTFIN 2027 | ₹2,004 | ₹3,090 | ₹4,764 | +7% |
| MUTHOOTFIN 2028 | ₹1,785 | ₹3,303 | ₹6,115 | +14% |
| MUTHOOTFIN 2029 | ₹1,647 | ₹3,532 | ₹7,573 | +22% |
| MUTHOOTFIN 2030 | ₹1,566 | ₹3,776 | ₹9,104 | +31% |
| MUTHOOTFIN 2031 | ₹1,527 | ₹4,037 | ₹10,672 | +40% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MUTHOOTFIN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MUTHOOTFIN
- MUTHOOTFIN's P/E of 10.2x is lower than 85% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MUTHOOTFIN's return on equity of 30.9% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,573.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,647.
MUTHOOTFIN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years MUTHOOTFIN compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,004-₹4,764, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MUTHOOTFIN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MUTHOOTFIN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MUTHOOTFIN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MUTHOOTFIN price target & forecast page.
MUTHOOTFIN Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MUTHOOTFIN scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
MUTHOOTFIN MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MUTHOOTFIN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 28.71% | 3.5× |
| Zerodha | 27.40% | 3.6× |
| Groww | 27.51% | 3.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 25.17% | 4.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 25.19% | 4.0× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 32.13% | 3.1× |
| Fyers | 33.33% | 3.0× |
| Anand Rathi | 32.17% | 3.1× |
| Bajaj Broking | 26.00% | 3.8× |
| Share India | 32.32% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the MUTHOOTFIN MTF page.
MUTHOOTFIN vs peers,NBFC comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| MUTHOOTFIN (this stock) | 10.2× | 1.04% | ₹1.16L Cr |
| BAJFINANCE | 32.8× | 0.50% | ₹6.71L Cr |
| BAJAJFINSV | 31.3× | 0.07% | ₹3.22L Cr |
| RECLTD | 6.0× | 5.05% | ₹96,639 Cr |
| IRFC | 16.1× | 2.37% | ₹1.16L Cr |
| PFC | 5.3× | 4.42% | ₹1.39L Cr |
| SHRIRAMFIN | 23.2× | 0.97% | ₹2.62L Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About MUTHOOT FINANCE LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
MUTHOOT FINANCE LIMITED (MUTHOOTFIN) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the NBFC sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.16L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MUTHOOTFIN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MUTHOOT FINANCE LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MUTHOOTFIN analysis, FAQs
Is MUTHOOT FINANCE LIMITED (MUTHOOTFIN) a good buy?
On the numbers, MUTHOOT FINANCE LIMITED (MUTHOOTFIN) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.2× earnings, ROE of 30.9%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MUTHOOTFIN overvalued or undervalued?
MUTHOOTFIN trades at 10.2× earnings versus a peer median of 16.1×, so it screens cheaper than its NBFC peers.
What is the MUTHOOTFIN share price target for 2031?
MUTHOOTFIN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,037, with an 80% range of ₹1,527-₹10,672 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MUTHOOTFIN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MUTHOOTFIN reaching ₹5,780 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for MUTHOOTFIN?
MUTHOOTFIN's P/E of 10.2x is lower than 85% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MUTHOOTFIN's return on equity of 30.9% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MUTHOOTFIN?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.