Case study

OLAELEC

OLAELEC

Tread carefully1y model -46.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

OLAELEC (OLAELEC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is OLAELEC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

OLAELEC (OLAELEC) trades at ₹43,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100.

On the numbers, OLAELEC (OLAELEC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.6× earnings, ROE of -43.2%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

OLAELEC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹19,666 Cr
Current price
₹43
P/E ratio
7.6×
P/B ratio
5.59×
Book value
₹8
ROCE
-19.6%
ROE
-43.2%
Piotroski F-Score
1/9

Is OLAELEC overvalued? OLAELEC P/E vs its Auto

OLAELEC's P/E of 7.6× sits below the Auto peer median of 26.4×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers.

OLAELEC P/E
7.6×
Peer median P/E
26.4×
Peer median yield
1.06%

OLAELEC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.8y of OLAELEC history (-42%/yr drift, 64%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
OLAELEC 2027₹10₹23₹52-47%
OLAELEC 2028₹4₹12₹39-72%
OLAELEC 2029₹2₹7₹27-85%
OLAELEC 2030₹1₹3₹18-92%
OLAELEC 2031₹0₹2₹12-95%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability OLAELEC goes up, or doubles?

17%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
1%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹85 within 5 years

The bull case for OLAELEC

  • Trades at just 7.6× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹27.

The bear case & risks

  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (64%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2.

OLAELEC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.8 years OLAELEC compounded at -42%/year with annualized volatility of 64%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹10₹52, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

OLAELEC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
46.6%
80% range₹10–₹52
P(price ↑)17%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
84.5%
80% range₹2–₹27
P(price ↑)5%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
95.5%
80% range₹0–₹12
P(price ↑)1%
P(price 2×)0%

OLAELEC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
OLAELEC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds OLAELEC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the OLAELEC price target & forecast page.

OLAELEC Piotroski F-Score: 1/9, how financially strong is it?

1/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. OLAELEC scores 1/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

OLAELEC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy OLAELEC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST43.1%2.3×

Compare every broker on the OLAELEC MTF page.

OLAELEC vs peers,Auto comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
OLAELEC (this stock)7.6×₹19,666 Cr
MARUTI28.8×1.04%₹4.22L Cr
EICHERMOT37.6×0.92%₹2.09L Cr
HEROMOTOCO17.1×3.71%₹99,728 Cr
M&M21.5×1.08%₹3.81L Cr
BAJAJ-AUTO26.4×1.47%₹2.85L Cr
TVSMOTOR54.4×0.34%₹1.66L Cr

About OLAELEC: sector, index & market-cap context

OLAELEC (OLAELEC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company in the Auto sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹19,666 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the OLAELEC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of OLAELEC's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

OLAELEC analysis, FAQs

Is OLAELEC (OLAELEC) a good buy?

On the numbers, OLAELEC (OLAELEC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 43/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.6× earnings, ROE of -43.2%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is OLAELEC overvalued or undervalued?

OLAELEC trades at 7.6× earnings versus a peer median of 26.4×, so it screens cheaper than its Auto peers.

What is the OLAELEC share price target for 2031?

OLAELEC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2, with an 80% range of ₹0₹12 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability OLAELEC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of OLAELEC reaching ₹85 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for OLAELEC?

Trades at just 7.6× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.

What are the risks in OLAELEC?

A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (64%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on OLAELEC