UNITDSPR
United Spirits
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
United Spirits (UNITDSPR) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is UNITDSPR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
United Spirits (UNITDSPR) trades at ₹1,343,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, United Spirits (UNITDSPR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 53.5× earnings, ROE of 21.4%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
UNITDSPR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is UNITDSPR overvalued? UNITDSPR P/E vs its FMCG
UNITDSPR's P/E of 53.5× sits above the FMCG peer median of 49.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.27% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.73%.
UNITDSPR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of UNITDSPR history (1%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNITDSPR 2027 | ₹948 | ₹1,292 | ₹1,761 | -2% |
| UNITDSPR 2028 | ₹815 | ₹1,271 | ₹1,967 | -4% |
| UNITDSPR 2029 | ₹733 | ₹1,250 | ₹2,130 | -5% |
| UNITDSPR 2030 | ₹658 | ₹1,226 | ₹2,258 | -7% |
| UNITDSPR 2031 | ₹604 | ₹1,188 | ₹2,403 | -10% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability UNITDSPR goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for UNITDSPR
- High return on equity (21.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (27.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,130.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 53.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 10.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹733.
UNITDSPR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years UNITDSPR compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹948–₹1,761, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
UNITDSPR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
UNITDSPR price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds UNITDSPR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the UNITDSPR price target & forecast page.
UNITDSPR Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. UNITDSPR scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
UNITDSPR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy UNITDSPR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 27.4% | 3.7× |
| Zerodha | 23.3% | 4.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 22.0% | 4.5× |
Compare every broker on the UNITDSPR MTF page.
UNITDSPR vs peers,FMCG comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNITDSPR (this stock) | 53.5× | 1.27% | ₹97,742 Cr |
| ITC | 17.4× | 4.98% | ₹3.64L Cr |
| HINDUNILVR | 33.7× | 1.88% | ₹5.13L Cr |
| NESTLEIND | 79.4× | 0.86% | ₹2.70L Cr |
| TATACONSUM | 71.7× | 0.90% | ₹1.10L Cr |
| BRITANNIA | 49.7× | 1.73% | ₹1.26L Cr |
| DABUR | 39.3× | 1.95% | ₹74,879 Cr |
About United Spirits: sector, index & market-cap context
United Spirits (UNITDSPR) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the FMCG sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹97,742 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the UNITDSPR Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of United Spirits's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
UNITDSPR analysis, FAQs
Is United Spirits (UNITDSPR) a good buy?
On the numbers, United Spirits (UNITDSPR) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing expensive at 53.5× earnings, ROE of 21.4%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is UNITDSPR overvalued or undervalued?
UNITDSPR trades at 53.5× earnings versus a peer median of 49.7×, so it screens richer than its FMCG peers.
What is the UNITDSPR share price target for 2031?
UNITDSPR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,188, with an 80% range of ₹604–₹2,403 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability UNITDSPR doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of UNITDSPR reaching ₹2,641 (2×) within 5 years is 7%.
What is the bull case for UNITDSPR?
High return on equity (21.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (27.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in UNITDSPR?
A rich 53.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 10.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.