Case study

VOLTAS

Voltas

High-risk on the numbers1y model -10.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Voltas (VOLTAS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is VOLTAS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Voltas (VOLTAS) trades at ₹1,354,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.

On the numbers, Voltas (VOLTAS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 114.0× earnings, ROE of 6.1%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

VOLTAS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹44,849 Cr
Current price
₹1,354
P/E ratio
114.0×
P/B ratio
7.02×
Book value
₹193
Dividend yield
0.30%
ROCE
9.0%
ROE
6.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is VOLTAS overvalued? VOLTAS P/E vs its Consumer

VOLTAS's P/E of 114.0× sits above the Consumer peer median of 56.3×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.30% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.54%.

VOLTAS P/E
114.0×
Peer median P/E
56.3×
VOLTAS div yield
0.30%
Peer median yield
0.54%

VOLTAS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of VOLTAS history (-6%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
VOLTAS 2027₹773₹1,197₹1,822-11%
VOLTAS 2028₹582₹1,062₹1,948-21%
VOLTAS 2029₹452₹951₹1,972-29%
VOLTAS 2030₹357₹833₹1,981-38%
VOLTAS 2031₹287₹735₹1,902-45%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability VOLTAS goes up, or doubles?

36%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
21%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
4%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,687 within 5 years

The bull case for VOLTAS

  • Voltas is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,972.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 114.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 6.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹452.

VOLTAS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years VOLTAS compounded at -6%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹773₹1,822, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

VOLTAS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
10.9%
80% range₹773–₹1,822
P(price ↑)36%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
29.2%
80% range₹452–₹1,972
P(price ↑)27%
P(price 2×)4%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
45.3%
80% range₹287–₹1,902
P(price ↑)21%
P(price 2×)4%

VOLTAS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
VOLTAS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds VOLTAS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the VOLTAS price target & forecast page.

VOLTAS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. VOLTAS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

VOLTAS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy VOLTAS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.9%3.2×
Zerodha26.3%3.8×
Groww26.4%3.8×
DhanCHEAPEST24.0%4.2×

Compare every broker on the VOLTAS MTF page.

VOLTAS vs peers,Consumer comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
VOLTAS (this stock)114.0×0.30%₹44,849 Cr
ASIANPAINT57.7×1.03%₹2.56L Cr
TITAN75.4×0.25%₹3.88L Cr
HAVELLS43.8×0.85%₹74,032 Cr
BERGEPAINT54.9×0.69%₹64,031 Cr
KALYANKJIL28.6×0.39%₹39,358 Cr

About Voltas: sector, index & market-cap context

Voltas (VOLTAS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Consumer sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹44,849 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the VOLTAS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Voltas's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

VOLTAS analysis, FAQs

Is Voltas (VOLTAS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Voltas (VOLTAS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 114.0× earnings, ROE of 6.1%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is VOLTAS overvalued or undervalued?

VOLTAS trades at 114.0× earnings versus a peer median of 56.3×, so it screens richer than its Consumer peers.

What is the VOLTAS share price target for 2031?

VOLTAS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹735, with an 80% range of ₹287₹1,902 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability VOLTAS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of VOLTAS reaching ₹2,687 (2×) within 5 years is 4%.

What is the bull case for VOLTAS?

Voltas is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in VOLTAS?

A rich 114.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 6.1%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on VOLTAS