ADANIPOWER
Adani Power Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Adani Power Limited (ADANIPOWER) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ADANIPOWER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Adani Power Limited (ADANIPOWER) trades at ₹209,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100.
On the numbers, Adani Power Limited (ADANIPOWER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing premium at 28.3× earnings, ROE of 21.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ADANIPOWER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ADANIPOWER ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ADANIPOWER's market cap of 4.03L Cr ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ADANIPOWER's book value of ₹34 ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ADANIPOWER's promoter holding of 75.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ADANIPOWER's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 6.0% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ADANIPOWER's 3-year revenue growth of 12.0% ranks in the 55th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ADANIPOWER's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84x is lower than 19% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ADANIPOWER overvalued? ADANIPOWER P/E vs its Power
ADANIPOWER's P/E of 28.3× sits above the Power peer median of 20.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
ADANIPOWER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ADANIPOWER history (37%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADANIPOWER 2027 | ₹128 | ₹221 | ₹379 | +6% |
| ADANIPOWER 2028 | ₹106 | ₹233 | ₹511 | +11% |
| ADANIPOWER 2029 | ₹95 | ₹246 | ₹636 | +18% |
| ADANIPOWER 2030 | ₹87 | ₹260 | ₹777 | +24% |
| ADANIPOWER 2031 | ₹79 | ₹274 | ₹949 | +31% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ADANIPOWER goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ADANIPOWER
- ADANIPOWER's return on equity of 21.1% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹636.
The bear case & risks
- ADANIPOWER's P/E of 28.3x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹95.
ADANIPOWER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years ADANIPOWER compounded at 37%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹128-₹379, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ADANIPOWER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ADANIPOWER price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ADANIPOWER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ADANIPOWER price target & forecast page.
ADANIPOWER Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ADANIPOWER scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
ADANIPOWER MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ADANIPOWER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 30.74% | 3.3× |
| Zerodha | 29.10% | 3.4× |
| Groww | 29.27% | 3.4× |
| Dhan | 30.00% | 3.3× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 27.47% | 3.6× |
| Pocketful | 34.74% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.19% | 2.9× |
| Bajaj Broking | 45.00% | 2.2× |
| Share India | 34.35% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the ADANIPOWER MTF page.
ADANIPOWER vs peers,Power comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADANIPOWER (this stock) | 28.3× | - | ₹4.03L Cr |
| NTPC | 12.0× | 1.61% | ₹3.32L Cr |
| POWERGRID | 15.9× | 3.31% | ₹2.53L Cr |
| TATAPOWER | 31.1× | 0.66% | ₹1.22L Cr |
| NHPC | 20.4× | 2.09% | ₹77,266 Cr |
| ADANIGREEN | 117.0× | 0.00% | ₹2.26L Cr |
| SUZLON | 20.9× | 0.00% | ₹65,646 Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About Adani Power Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Adani Power Limited (ADANIPOWER) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Power sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹4.03L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ADANIPOWER Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Adani Power Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ADANIPOWER analysis, FAQs
Is Adani Power Limited (ADANIPOWER) a good buy?
On the numbers, Adani Power Limited (ADANIPOWER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing premium at 28.3× earnings, ROE of 21.1%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ADANIPOWER overvalued or undervalued?
ADANIPOWER trades at 28.3× earnings versus a peer median of 20.9×, so it screens richer than its Power peers.
What is the ADANIPOWER share price target for 2031?
ADANIPOWER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹274, with an 80% range of ₹79-₹949 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ADANIPOWER doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ADANIPOWER reaching ₹418 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for ADANIPOWER?
ADANIPOWER's return on equity of 21.1% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ADANIPOWER?
ADANIPOWER's P/E of 28.3x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.