TATAPOWER
Tata Power
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tata Power (TATAPOWER) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TATAPOWER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tata Power (TATAPOWER) trades at ₹406,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Tata Power (TATAPOWER) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 33.8× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TATAPOWER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is TATAPOWER overvalued? TATAPOWER P/E vs its Power
TATAPOWER's P/E of 33.8× sits above the Power peer median of 25.6×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.62% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.62%.
TATAPOWER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of TATAPOWER history (-4%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TATAPOWER 2027 | ₹270 | ₹375 | ₹526 | -7% |
| TATAPOWER 2028 | ₹217 | ₹348 | ₹553 | -14% |
| TATAPOWER 2029 | ₹183 | ₹322 | ₹572 | -20% |
| TATAPOWER 2030 | ₹156 | ₹298 | ₹581 | -26% |
| TATAPOWER 2031 | ₹134 | ₹277 | ₹583 | -31% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TATAPOWER goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TATAPOWER
- Tata Power is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹572.
The bear case & risks
- At 33.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 10.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹183.
TATAPOWER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years TATAPOWER compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹270–₹526, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TATAPOWER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TATAPOWER price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TATAPOWER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TATAPOWER price target & forecast page.
TATAPOWER Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. TATAPOWER scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
TATAPOWER MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATAPOWER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 27.4% | 3.6× |
| Zerodha | 23.4% | 4.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 22.0% | 4.5× |
Compare every broker on the TATAPOWER MTF page.
TATAPOWER vs peers,Power comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| TATAPOWER (this stock) | 33.8× | 0.62% | ₹1.30L Cr |
| NTPC | 13.2× | 2.27% | ₹3.56L Cr |
| POWERGRID | 16.9× | 3.11% | ₹2.69L Cr |
| NHPC | 20.9× | 2.44% | ₹78,614 Cr |
| ADANIGREEN | 140.0× | 0.00% | ₹2.55L Cr |
| ADANIPOWER | 35.3× | 0.00% | ₹4.51L Cr |
| SUZLON | 25.6× | 0.00% | ₹80,826 Cr |
About Tata Power: sector, index & market-cap context
Tata Power (TATAPOWER) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Power sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.30L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the TATAPOWER Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tata Power's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TATAPOWER analysis, FAQs
Is Tata Power (TATAPOWER) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tata Power (TATAPOWER) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 33.8× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TATAPOWER overvalued or undervalued?
TATAPOWER trades at 33.8× earnings versus a peer median of 25.6×, so it screens richer than its Power peers.
What is the TATAPOWER share price target for 2031?
TATAPOWER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹277, with an 80% range of ₹134–₹583 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TATAPOWER doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TATAPOWER reaching ₹805 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for TATAPOWER?
Tata Power is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in TATAPOWER?
At 33.8× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 10.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.