TATAPOWER
Tata Power Company Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Tata Power Company Limited (TATAPOWER) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is TATAPOWER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Tata Power Company Limited (TATAPOWER) trades at ₹381,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Tata Power Company Limited (TATAPOWER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 31.1× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
TATAPOWER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How TATAPOWER ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- TATAPOWER's market cap of 1.22L Cr ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAPOWER's book value of ₹124 ranks in the 59th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAPOWER's promoter holding of 46.9% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAPOWER's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 6.0% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAPOWER's 3-year revenue growth of 4.0% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAPOWER's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.93x is lower than 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is TATAPOWER overvalued? TATAPOWER P/E vs its Power
TATAPOWER's P/E of 31.1× sits above the Power peer median of 20.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.66% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.66%.
TATAPOWER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TATAPOWER history (17%/yr drift, 25%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TATAPOWER 2027 | ₹301 | ₹416 | ₹573 | +9% |
| TATAPOWER 2028 | ₹288 | ₹454 | ₹716 | +19% |
| TATAPOWER 2029 | ₹285 | ₹496 | ₹863 | +30% |
| TATAPOWER 2030 | ₹283 | ₹541 | ₹1,037 | +42% |
| TATAPOWER 2031 | ₹285 | ₹591 | ₹1,226 | +55% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability TATAPOWER goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for TATAPOWER
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹416 (+9%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹863.
The bear case & risks
- TATAPOWER's P/E of 31.1x is lower than 44% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- TATAPOWER's return on equity of 10.2% ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹285.
TATAPOWER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years TATAPOWER compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 25%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹301-₹573, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
TATAPOWER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
TATAPOWER price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds TATAPOWER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the TATAPOWER price target & forecast page.
TATAPOWER Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TATAPOWER scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
TATAPOWER MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TATAPOWER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 23.48% | 4.3× |
| Zerodha | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Groww | 23.03% | 4.3× |
| Dhan | 22.00% | 4.5× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 20.00% | 5.0× |
| Paytm Money | 20.81% | 4.8× |
| Pocketful | 27.20% | 3.7× |
| Fyers | 27.03% | 3.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 26.96% | 3.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 22.00% | 4.5× |
| Share India | 27.03% | 3.7× |
Compare every broker on the TATAPOWER MTF page.
TATAPOWER vs peers,Power comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| TATAPOWER (this stock) | 31.1× | 0.66% | ₹1.22L Cr |
| NTPC | 12.0× | 1.61% | ₹3.32L Cr |
| POWERGRID | 15.9× | 3.31% | ₹2.53L Cr |
| NHPC | 20.4× | 2.09% | ₹77,266 Cr |
| ADANIGREEN | 117.0× | 0.00% | ₹2.26L Cr |
| ADANIPOWER | 28.3× | 0.00% | ₹4.03L Cr |
| SUZLON | 20.9× | 0.00% | ₹65,646 Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About Tata Power Company Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Tata Power Company Limited (TATAPOWER) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Power sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.22L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the TATAPOWER Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Tata Power Company Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
TATAPOWER analysis, FAQs
Is Tata Power Company Limited (TATAPOWER) a good buy?
On the numbers, Tata Power Company Limited (TATAPOWER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 31.1× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 64% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is TATAPOWER overvalued or undervalued?
TATAPOWER trades at 31.1× earnings versus a peer median of 20.9×, so it screens richer than its Power peers.
What is the TATAPOWER share price target for 2031?
TATAPOWER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹591, with an 80% range of ₹285-₹1,226 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability TATAPOWER doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of TATAPOWER reaching ₹761 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for TATAPOWER?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 64% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹416 (+9%).
What are the risks in TATAPOWER?
TATAPOWER's P/E of 31.1x is lower than 44% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TATAPOWER's return on equity of 10.2% ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.