Case study

SUZLON

Suzlon

Mixed signals1y model -3.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Suzlon (SUZLON) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is SUZLON a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Suzlon (SUZLON) trades at ₹59,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.

On the numbers, Suzlon (SUZLON) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing premium at 25.6× earnings, ROE of 40.6%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

SUZLON fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹80,826 Cr
Current price
₹59
P/E ratio
25.6×
P/B ratio
8.52×
Book value
₹7
ROCE
35.1%
ROE
40.6%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is SUZLON overvalued? SUZLON P/E vs its Power

SUZLON's P/E of 25.6× sits above the Power peer median of 25.6×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers.

SUZLON P/E
25.6×
Peer median P/E
25.6×
Peer median yield
1.45%

SUZLON share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SUZLON history (4%/yr drift, 39%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
SUZLON 2027₹35₹57₹96-4%
SUZLON 2028₹28₹55₹114-7%
SUZLON 2029₹23₹54₹128-9%
SUZLON 2030₹19₹51₹142-13%
SUZLON 2031₹16₹49₹158-17%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability SUZLON goes up, or doubles?

46%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
41%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
17%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹118 within 5 years

The bull case for SUZLON

  • High return on equity (40.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (35.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹128.

The bear case & risks

  • At 25.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹23.

SUZLON volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years SUZLON compounded at 4%/year with annualized volatility of 39%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹35₹96, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

SUZLON price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.6%
80% range₹35–₹96
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.4%
80% range₹23–₹128
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)12%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
17.3%
80% range₹16–₹158
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)17%

SUZLON price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
SUZLON simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds SUZLON hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the SUZLON price target & forecast page.

SUZLON Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SUZLON scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

SUZLON MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SUZLON with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox33.2%3.0×
Zerodha28.3%3.5×
Groww28.4%3.5×
DhanCHEAPEST26.2%3.8×

Compare every broker on the SUZLON MTF page.

Which ace investors hold SUZLON?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

SUZLON vs peers,Power comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
SUZLON (this stock)25.6×₹80,826 Cr
NTPC13.2×2.27%₹3.56L Cr
POWERGRID16.9×3.11%₹2.69L Cr
TATAPOWER33.8×0.62%₹1.30L Cr
NHPC20.9×2.44%₹78,614 Cr
ADANIGREEN140.0×0.00%₹2.55L Cr
ADANIPOWER35.3×0.00%₹4.51L Cr

About Suzlon: sector, index & market-cap context

Suzlon (SUZLON) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Power sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹80,826 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the SUZLON Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Suzlon's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

SUZLON analysis, FAQs

Is Suzlon (SUZLON) a good buy?

On the numbers, Suzlon (SUZLON) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing premium at 25.6× earnings, ROE of 40.6%, a 46% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is SUZLON overvalued or undervalued?

SUZLON trades at 25.6× earnings versus a peer median of 25.6×, so it screens richer than its Power peers.

What is the SUZLON share price target for 2031?

SUZLON's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹49, with an 80% range of ₹16₹158 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability SUZLON doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of SUZLON reaching ₹118 (2×) within 5 years is 17%.

What is the bull case for SUZLON?

High return on equity (40.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (35.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in SUZLON?

At 25.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A steep 8.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on SUZLON