CASTROLIND
CASTROL INDIA LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
CASTROL INDIA LIMITED (CASTROLIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CASTROLIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
CASTROL INDIA LIMITED (CASTROLIND) trades at ₹192,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.
On the numbers, CASTROL INDIA LIMITED (CASTROLIND) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.6× earnings, ROE of 45.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CASTROLIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How CASTROLIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- CASTROLIND's market cap of 18,999 Cr ranks in the 84th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CASTROLIND's book value of ₹19 ranks in the 18th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CASTROLIND's promoter holding of 51.0% ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CASTROLIND's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 6.0% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CASTROLIND's 3-year revenue growth of 6.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CASTROLIND's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03x is lower than 90% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is CASTROLIND overvalued? CASTROLIND P/E vs its Energy
CASTROLIND's P/E of 17.6× sits above the Energy peer median of 11.6×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 4.56% dividend yield is above the peer median of 4.56%.
CASTROLIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of CASTROLIND history (-1%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASTROLIND 2027 | ₹137 | ₹196 | ₹280 | +2% |
| CASTROLIND 2028 | ₹120 | ₹199 | ₹332 | +4% |
| CASTROLIND 2029 | ₹108 | ₹203 | ₹382 | +6% |
| CASTROLIND 2030 | ₹101 | ₹207 | ₹424 | +8% |
| CASTROLIND 2031 | ₹95 | ₹211 | ₹468 | +10% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CASTROLIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CASTROLIND
- CASTROLIND's P/E of 17.6x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CASTROLIND's return on equity of 45.9% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CASTROLIND's return on capital employed of 60.3% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- CASTROLIND's dividend yield of 4.6% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹382.
The bear case & risks
- A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹108.
CASTROLIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years CASTROLIND compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹137-₹280, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CASTROLIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CASTROLIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CASTROLIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CASTROLIND price target & forecast page.
CASTROLIND Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. CASTROLIND scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
CASTROLIND MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CASTROLIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| GrowwCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Pocketful | 26.62% | 3.8× |
| Fyers | 27.03% | 3.7× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
| Bajaj Broking | 34.00% | 2.9× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 26.50% | 3.8× |
Compare every broker on the CASTROLIND MTF page.
CASTROLIND vs peers,Energy comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| CASTROLIND (this stock) | 17.6× | 4.56% | ₹18,999 Cr |
| RELIANCE | 24.2× | 0.45% | ₹18.06L Cr |
| BPCL | 9.0× | 5.45% | ₹1.39L Cr |
| ONGC | 6.9× | 5.13% | ₹3.00L Cr |
| IOC | 6.0× | 5.75% | ₹2.02L Cr |
| GAIL | 11.6× | 2.88% | ₹1.14L Cr |
| IGL | 13.7× | 2.14% | ₹21,272 Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About CASTROL INDIA LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
CASTROL INDIA LIMITED (CASTROLIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company in the Energy sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹18,999 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the CASTROLIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CASTROL INDIA LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CASTROLIND analysis, FAQs
Is CASTROL INDIA LIMITED (CASTROLIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, CASTROL INDIA LIMITED (CASTROLIND) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.6× earnings, ROE of 45.9%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CASTROLIND overvalued or undervalued?
CASTROLIND trades at 17.6× earnings versus a peer median of 11.6×, so it screens richer than its Energy peers.
What is the CASTROLIND share price target for 2031?
CASTROLIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹211, with an 80% range of ₹95-₹468 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CASTROLIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CASTROLIND reaching ₹384 (2×) within 5 years is 17%.
What is the bull case for CASTROLIND?
CASTROLIND's P/E of 17.6x is lower than 67% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CASTROLIND's return on equity of 45.9% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. CASTROLIND's return on capital employed of 60.3% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in CASTROLIND?
A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.