GAIL
Gail (India) Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Gail (India) Limited (GAIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is GAIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Gail (India) Limited (GAIL) trades at ₹174,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.
On the numbers, Gail (India) Limited (GAIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.6× earnings, ROE of 8.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
GAIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How GAIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- GAIL's market cap of 1.14L Cr ranks in the top 4% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GAIL's book value of ₹135 ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GAIL's promoter holding of 51.8% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GAIL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 10.0% ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GAIL's 3-year revenue growth of -1.0% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- GAIL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x is lower than 54% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is GAIL overvalued? GAIL P/E vs its Energy
GAIL's P/E of 11.6× sits above the Energy peer median of 10.8×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 2.88% dividend yield is below the peer median of 3.56%.
GAIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of GAIL history (9%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAIL 2027 | ₹124 | ₹180 | ₹263 | +4% |
| GAIL 2028 | ₹112 | ₹188 | ₹314 | +8% |
| GAIL 2029 | ₹103 | ₹195 | ₹367 | +12% |
| GAIL 2030 | ₹97 | ₹203 | ₹423 | +17% |
| GAIL 2031 | ₹94 | ₹211 | ₹471 | +21% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability GAIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for GAIL
- GAIL's P/E of 11.6x is lower than 83% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.29×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- GAIL's dividend yield of 2.9% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹367.
The bear case & risks
- GAIL's return on equity of 8.7% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹103.
GAIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years GAIL compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹124-₹263, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
GAIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
GAIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds GAIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the GAIL price target & forecast page.
GAIL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. GAIL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
GAIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy GAIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 25.16% | 4.0× |
| Zerodha | 24.40% | 4.1× |
| Groww | 24.46% | 4.1× |
| Dhan | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 21.65% | 4.6× |
| Paytm Money | 22.38% | 4.5× |
| Pocketful | 28.64% | 3.5× |
| Anand Rathi | 28.65% | 3.5× |
| Bajaj Broking | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Share India | 28.73% | 3.5× |
Compare every broker on the GAIL MTF page.
GAIL vs peers,Energy comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| GAIL (this stock) | 11.6× | 2.88% | ₹1.14L Cr |
| RELIANCE | 24.2× | 0.45% | ₹18.06L Cr |
| BPCL | 9.0× | 5.45% | ₹1.39L Cr |
| ONGC | 6.9× | 5.13% | ₹3.00L Cr |
| IOC | 6.0× | 5.75% | ₹2.02L Cr |
| IGL | 13.7× | 2.14% | ₹21,272 Cr |
| PETRONET | 10.8× | 3.56% | ₹42,090 Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About Gail (India) Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Gail (India) Limited (GAIL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Energy sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.14L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the GAIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Gail (India) Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
GAIL analysis, FAQs
Is Gail (India) Limited (GAIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Gail (India) Limited (GAIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.6× earnings, ROE of 8.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is GAIL overvalued or undervalued?
GAIL trades at 11.6× earnings versus a peer median of 10.8×, so it screens richer than its Energy peers.
What is the GAIL share price target for 2031?
GAIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹211, with an 80% range of ₹94-₹471 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability GAIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of GAIL reaching ₹347 (2×) within 5 years is 21%.
What is the bull case for GAIL?
GAIL's P/E of 11.6x is lower than 83% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.29×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. GAIL's dividend yield of 2.9% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in GAIL?
GAIL's return on equity of 8.7% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.