Case study

IGL

Indraprastha Gas Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +3.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

69Score

Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IGL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL) trades at ₹152,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.

On the numbers, Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 14.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IGL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹21,272 Cr
Current price
₹152
P/E ratio
13.7×
P/B ratio
1.85×
Book value
₹82
Dividend yield
2.14%
ROCE
17.9%
ROE
14.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How IGL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is IGL overvalued? IGL P/E vs its Energy

IGL's P/E of 13.7× sits above the Energy peer median of 10.8×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.14% dividend yield is below the peer median of 3.56%.

IGL P/E
13.7×
Peer median P/E
10.8×
IGL div yield
2.14%
Peer median yield
3.56%

IGL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of IGL history (8%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IGL 2027₹100₹157₹248+3%
IGL 2028₹86₹163₹308+7%
IGL 2029₹76₹168₹373+11%
IGL 2030₹71₹174₹428+15%
IGL 2031₹65₹180₹498+19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IGL goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹304 within 5 years

The bull case for IGL

  • IGL's P/E of 13.7x is lower than 78% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • IGL's return on equity of 14.0% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • IGL's dividend yield of 2.1% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹373.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹76.

IGL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years IGL compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹100-₹248, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IGL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.5%
80% range₹100-₹248
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.8%
80% range₹76-₹373
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.7%
80% range₹65-₹498
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)25%

IGL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IGL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IGL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IGL price target & forecast page.

IGL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IGL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

IGL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IGL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox29.60%3.4×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.59%3.4×
Groww29.68%3.4×
Dhan30.00%3.3×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money29.78%3.4×
Pocketful29.94%3.3×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST29.59%3.4×
Bajaj Broking31.00%3.2×
Share India29.68%3.4×

Compare every broker on the IGL MTF page.

IGL vs peers,Energy comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
IGL (this stock)13.7×2.14%₹21,272 Cr
RELIANCE24.2×0.45%₹18.06L Cr
BPCL9.0×5.45%₹1.39L Cr
ONGC6.9×5.13%₹3.00L Cr
IOC6.0×5.75%₹2.02L Cr
GAIL11.6×2.88%₹1.14L Cr
PETRONET10.8×3.56%₹42,090 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Indraprastha Gas Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Energy sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹21,272 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the IGL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Indraprastha Gas Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IGL analysis, FAQs

Is Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 14.0%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IGL overvalued or undervalued?

IGL trades at 13.7× earnings versus a peer median of 10.8×, so it screens richer than its Energy peers.

What is the IGL share price target for 2031?

IGL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹180, with an 80% range of ₹65-₹498 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IGL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IGL reaching ₹304 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for IGL?

IGL's P/E of 13.7x is lower than 78% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. IGL's return on equity of 14.0% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. IGL's dividend yield of 2.1% ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in IGL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on IGL