IGL
Indraprastha Gas
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Indraprastha Gas (IGL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IGL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Indraprastha Gas (IGL) trades at ₹170,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, Indraprastha Gas (IGL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.3× earnings, ROE of 14.0%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IGL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is IGL overvalued? IGL P/E vs its Energy
IGL's P/E of 15.3× sits above the Energy peer median of 11.0×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 2.50% dividend yield is below the peer median of 4.23%.
IGL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IGL history (-18%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IGL 2027 | ₹84 | ₹133 | ₹208 | -21% |
| IGL 2028 | ₹54 | ₹104 | ₹198 | -38% |
| IGL 2029 | ₹37 | ₹82 | ₹181 | -51% |
| IGL 2030 | ₹26 | ₹65 | ₹163 | -61% |
| IGL 2031 | ₹18 | ₹51 | ₹142 | -69% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IGL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IGL
- A 15.3× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 14.0% return on equity.
- Pays a 2.5% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹181.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹37.
IGL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years IGL compounded at -18%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹84–₹208, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IGL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IGL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IGL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IGL price target & forecast page.
IGL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. IGL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
IGL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IGL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.1% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.1% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.1% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the IGL MTF page.
IGL vs peers,Energy comparison
About Indraprastha Gas: sector, index & market-cap context
Indraprastha Gas (IGL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Energy sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹23,728 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the IGL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Indraprastha Gas's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IGL analysis, FAQs
Is Indraprastha Gas (IGL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Indraprastha Gas (IGL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.3× earnings, ROE of 14.0%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IGL overvalued or undervalued?
IGL trades at 15.3× earnings versus a peer median of 11.0×, so it screens richer than its Energy peers.
What is the IGL share price target for 2031?
IGL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹51, with an 80% range of ₹18–₹142 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IGL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IGL reaching ₹335 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for IGL?
A 15.3× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 14.0% return on equity. Pays a 2.5% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in IGL?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.