PETRONET
Petronet LNG
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Petronet LNG (PETRONET) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is PETRONET a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Petronet LNG (PETRONET) trades at ₹286,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 74/100.
On the numbers, Petronet LNG (PETRONET) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 74/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.0× earnings, ROE of 18.6%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
PETRONET fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is PETRONET overvalued? PETRONET P/E vs its Energy
PETRONET's P/E of 11.0× sits above the Energy peer median of 11.0×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 3.49% dividend yield is below the peer median of 4.23%.
PETRONET share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of PETRONET history (-6%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PETRONET 2027 | ₹179 | ₹262 | ₹379 | -9% |
| PETRONET 2028 | ₹138 | ₹236 | ₹401 | -18% |
| PETRONET 2029 | ₹110 | ₹212 | ₹410 | -26% |
| PETRONET 2030 | ₹90 | ₹193 | ₹401 | -33% |
| PETRONET 2031 | ₹74 | ₹174 | ₹397 | -40% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability PETRONET goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for PETRONET
- Trades at just 11.0× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- High return on equity (18.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (22.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Pays a 3.5% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹410.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹110.
PETRONET volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years PETRONET compounded at -6%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹179–₹379, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
PETRONET price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
PETRONET price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds PETRONET hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the PETRONET price target & forecast page.
PETRONET Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. PETRONET scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
PETRONET MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PETRONET with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 30.1% | 3.3× |
| Zerodha | 25.7% | 3.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 23.1% | 4.3× |
Compare every broker on the PETRONET MTF page.
PETRONET vs peers,Energy comparison
About Petronet LNG: sector, index & market-cap context
Petronet LNG (PETRONET) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Energy sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹42,982 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the PETRONET Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Petronet LNG's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
PETRONET analysis, FAQs
Is Petronet LNG (PETRONET) a good buy?
On the numbers, Petronet LNG (PETRONET) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 74/100, weighing inexpensive at 11.0× earnings, ROE of 18.6%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is PETRONET overvalued or undervalued?
PETRONET trades at 11.0× earnings versus a peer median of 11.0×, so it screens richer than its Energy peers.
What is the PETRONET share price target for 2031?
PETRONET's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹174, with an 80% range of ₹74–₹397 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability PETRONET doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of PETRONET reaching ₹577 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for PETRONET?
Trades at just 11.0× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. High return on equity (18.6%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (22.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in PETRONET?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.