Case study

PETRONET

PETRONET LNG LIMITED

Screens attractive1y model +2.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

80Score

PETRONET LNG LIMITED (PETRONET) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is PETRONET a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

PETRONET LNG LIMITED (PETRONET) trades at ₹281,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100.

On the numbers, PETRONET LNG LIMITED (PETRONET) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.8× earnings, ROE of 18.6%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

PETRONET fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹42,090 Cr
Current price
₹281
P/E ratio
10.8×
P/B ratio
1.89×
Book value
₹149
Dividend yield
3.56%
ROCE
22.7%
ROE
18.6%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How PETRONET ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is PETRONET overvalued? PETRONET P/E vs its Energy

PETRONET's P/E of 10.8× sits above the Energy peer median of 10.8×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 3.56% dividend yield is above the peer median of 3.56%.

PETRONET P/E
10.8×
Peer median P/E
10.8×
PETRONET div yield
3.56%
Peer median yield
3.56%

PETRONET share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of PETRONET history (6%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
PETRONET 2027₹200₹289₹416+3%
PETRONET 2028₹177₹297₹499+6%
PETRONET 2029₹163₹306₹575+9%
PETRONET 2030₹152₹315₹651+12%
PETRONET 2031₹146₹324₹718+16%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability PETRONET goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
19%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹561 within 5 years

The bull case for PETRONET

  • PETRONET's P/E of 10.8x is lower than 84% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PETRONET's return on equity of 18.6% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PETRONET's return on capital employed of 22.7% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • PETRONET's dividend yield of 3.6% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹575.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹163.

PETRONET volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years PETRONET compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹200-₹416, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

PETRONET price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.9%
80% range₹200-₹416
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
9.1%
80% range₹163-₹575
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)11%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
15.6%
80% range₹146-₹718
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)19%

PETRONET price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
PETRONET simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds PETRONET hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the PETRONET price target & forecast page.

PETRONET Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. PETRONET scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

PETRONET MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy PETRONET with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox26.06%3.8×
Zerodha25.20%4.0×
Groww25.22%4.0×
Dhan23.00%4.3×
Kotak Neo25.00%4.0×
Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST22.66%4.4×
Pocketful29.77%3.4×
Anand Rathi29.54%3.4×
Bajaj Broking24.00%4.2×
Share India29.62%3.4×

Compare every broker on the PETRONET MTF page.

PETRONET vs peers,Energy comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
PETRONET (this stock)10.8×3.56%₹42,090 Cr
RELIANCE24.2×0.45%₹18.06L Cr
BPCL9.0×5.45%₹1.39L Cr
ONGC6.9×5.13%₹3.00L Cr
IOC6.0×5.75%₹2.02L Cr
GAIL11.6×2.88%₹1.14L Cr
IGL13.7×2.14%₹21,272 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About PETRONET LNG LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

PETRONET LNG LIMITED (PETRONET) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Energy sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹42,090 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the PETRONET Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of PETRONET LNG LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

PETRONET analysis, FAQs

Is PETRONET LNG LIMITED (PETRONET) a good buy?

On the numbers, PETRONET LNG LIMITED (PETRONET) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 80/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.8× earnings, ROE of 18.6%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is PETRONET overvalued or undervalued?

PETRONET trades at 10.8× earnings versus a peer median of 10.8×, so it screens richer than its Energy peers.

What is the PETRONET share price target for 2031?

PETRONET's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹324, with an 80% range of ₹146-₹718 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability PETRONET doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of PETRONET reaching ₹561 (2×) within 5 years is 19%.

What is the bull case for PETRONET?

PETRONET's P/E of 10.8x is lower than 84% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PETRONET's return on equity of 18.6% ranks in the 81st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. PETRONET's return on capital employed of 22.7% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in PETRONET?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on PETRONET