Case study

IEX

Indian Energy Exchange Limited

Screens attractive1y model +3.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

72Score

Indian Energy Exchange Limited (IEX) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is IEX a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Indian Energy Exchange Limited (IEX) trades at ₹127,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100.

On the numbers, Indian Energy Exchange Limited (IEX) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.4× earnings, ROE of 39.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

IEX fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹11,333 Cr
Current price
₹127
P/E ratio
22.4×
P/B ratio
8.30×
Book value
₹15
Dividend yield
2.75%
ROCE
51.4%
ROE
39.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How IEX ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a promoter holding figure for IEX, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is IEX overvalued? IEX P/E vs its Power

IEX's P/E of 22.4× sits above the Power peer median of 22.4×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 2.75% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.61%.

IEX P/E
22.4×
Peer median P/E
22.4×
IEX div yield
2.75%
Peer median yield
1.61%

IEX share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 8.6y of IEX history (10%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
IEX 2027₹76₹132₹229+3%
IEX 2028₹62₹136₹297+7%
IEX 2029₹55₹141₹361+11%
IEX 2030₹48₹146₹438+15%
IEX 2031₹45₹151₹508+19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability IEX goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
29%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹254 within 5 years

The bull case for IEX

  • IEX's P/E of 22.4x is lower than 58% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • IEX's return on equity of 39.4% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • IEX's return on capital employed of 51.4% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • IEX's dividend yield of 2.8% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹361.

The bear case & risks

  • A steep 8.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹55.

IEX volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 8.6 years IEX compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹76-₹229, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

IEX price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 8.6 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.5%
80% range₹76-₹229
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.8%
80% range₹55-₹361
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.6%
80% range₹45-₹508
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)29%

IEX price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
IEX simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds IEX hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the IEX price target & forecast page.

IEX Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. IEX scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

IEX MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IEX with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox29.98%3.3×
Zerodha28.50%3.5×
Groww28.60%3.5×
DhanCHEAPEST26.45%3.8×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money26.60%3.8×
Pocketful33.75%3.0×
Fyers34.48%2.9×
Anand Rathi33.45%3.0×
Bajaj Broking32.00%3.1×
Share India33.60%3.0×

Compare every broker on the IEX MTF page.

IEX vs peers,Power comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
IEX (this stock)22.4×2.75%₹11,333 Cr
NTPC12.0×1.61%₹3.32L Cr
POWERGRID15.9×3.31%₹2.53L Cr
TATAPOWER31.1×0.66%₹1.22L Cr
NHPC20.4×2.09%₹77,266 Cr
ADANIGREEN117.0×0.00%₹2.26L Cr
ADANIPOWER28.3×0.00%₹4.03L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Indian Energy Exchange Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Indian Energy Exchange Limited (IEX) is a small-cap NSE-listed company in the Power sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,333 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the IEX Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Indian Energy Exchange Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

IEX analysis, FAQs

Is Indian Energy Exchange Limited (IEX) a good buy?

On the numbers, Indian Energy Exchange Limited (IEX) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 72/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.4× earnings, ROE of 39.4%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is IEX overvalued or undervalued?

IEX trades at 22.4× earnings versus a peer median of 22.4×, so it screens richer than its Power peers.

What is the IEX share price target for 2031?

IEX's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹151, with an 80% range of ₹45-₹508 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability IEX doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of IEX reaching ₹254 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.

What is the bull case for IEX?

IEX's P/E of 22.4x is lower than 58% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. IEX's return on equity of 39.4% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. IEX's return on capital employed of 51.4% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in IEX?

A steep 8.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on IEX