MRPL
Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MRPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) trades at ₹167,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100.
On the numbers, Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.5× earnings, ROE of 14.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MRPL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How MRPL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- MRPL's market cap of 29,270 Cr ranks in the 88th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRPL's book value of ₹81 ranks in the 46th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRPL's promoter holding of 88.6% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRPL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -10.0% ranks in the 19th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRPL's 3-year revenue growth of -7.0% ranks in the 13th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRPL's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08x is lower than 13% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is MRPL overvalued? MRPL P/E vs its Energy
MRPL's P/E of 10.5× sits above the Energy peer median of 10.5×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 2.40% dividend yield is below the peer median of 2.88%.
MRPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of MRPL history (8%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRPL 2027 | ₹95 | ₹167 | ₹295 | +0% |
| MRPL 2028 | ₹74 | ₹168 | ₹380 | +0% |
| MRPL 2029 | ₹62 | ₹168 | ₹458 | +1% |
| MRPL 2030 | ₹53 | ₹168 | ₹534 | +1% |
| MRPL 2031 | ₹46 | ₹169 | ₹623 | +1% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MRPL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MRPL
- MRPL's P/E of 10.5x is lower than 85% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRPL's return on equity of 14.5% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRPL's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- MRPL's dividend yield of 2.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹458.
The bear case & risks
- MRPL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹62.
MRPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years MRPL compounded at 8%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹95-₹295, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MRPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MRPL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MRPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MRPL price target & forecast page.
MRPL Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. MRPL scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.
MRPL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MRPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 37.99% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.93% | 2.6× |
| Groww | 38.12% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.93% | 2.6× |
| Kotak Neo | 38.02% | 2.6× |
| Paytm Money | 38.10% | 2.6× |
| Pocketful | 38.38% | 2.6× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 37.93% | 2.6× |
| Bajaj Broking | 39.00% | 2.6× |
| Share India | 38.10% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the MRPL MTF page.
MRPL vs peers,Energy comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRPL (this stock) | 10.5× | 2.40% | ₹29,270 Cr |
| RELIANCE | 24.2× | 0.45% | ₹18.06L Cr |
| BPCL | 9.0× | 5.45% | ₹1.39L Cr |
| ONGC | 6.9× | 5.13% | ₹3.00L Cr |
| IOC | 6.0× | 5.75% | ₹2.02L Cr |
| GAIL | 11.6× | 2.88% | ₹1.14L Cr |
| IGL | 13.7× | 2.14% | ₹21,272 Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Energy sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹29,270 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the MRPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MRPL analysis, FAQs
Is Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.5× earnings, ROE of 14.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MRPL overvalued or undervalued?
MRPL trades at 10.5× earnings versus a peer median of 10.5×, so it screens richer than its Energy peers.
What is the MRPL share price target for 2031?
MRPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹169, with an 80% range of ₹46-₹623 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MRPL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MRPL reaching ₹334 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for MRPL?
MRPL's P/E of 10.5x is lower than 85% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MRPL's return on equity of 14.5% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. MRPL's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in MRPL?
MRPL's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.