MRPL
MRPL
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
MRPL (MRPL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is MRPL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
MRPL (MRPL) trades at ₹154,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.
On the numbers, MRPL (MRPL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.1× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
MRPL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is MRPL overvalued? MRPL P/E vs its Energy
MRPL's P/E of 14.1× sits above the Energy peer median of 14.1×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 2.59% dividend yield is below the peer median of 4.23%.
MRPL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of MRPL history (-19%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRPL 2027 | ₹65 | ₹115 | ₹204 | -25% |
| MRPL 2028 | ₹38 | ₹86 | ₹196 | -44% |
| MRPL 2029 | ₹23 | ₹64 | ₹176 | -59% |
| MRPL 2030 | ₹15 | ₹48 | ₹152 | -69% |
| MRPL 2031 | ₹10 | ₹35 | ₹133 | -77% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability MRPL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for MRPL
- Trades at just 14.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- A healthy 14.2% return on equity.
- Pays a 2.6% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹176.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹23.
MRPL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years MRPL compounded at -19%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹65–₹204, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
MRPL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
MRPL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds MRPL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the MRPL price target & forecast page.
MRPL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. MRPL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
MRPL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy MRPL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 38.1% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 38.1% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 38.1% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the MRPL MTF page.
MRPL vs peers,Energy comparison
About MRPL: sector, index & market-cap context
MRPL (MRPL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Energy sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹27,071 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the MRPL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of MRPL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
MRPL analysis, FAQs
Is MRPL (MRPL) a good buy?
On the numbers, MRPL (MRPL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.1× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 25% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is MRPL overvalued or undervalued?
MRPL trades at 14.1× earnings versus a peer median of 14.1×, so it screens richer than its Energy peers.
What is the MRPL share price target for 2031?
MRPL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹35, with an 80% range of ₹10–₹133 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability MRPL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of MRPL reaching ₹308 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for MRPL?
Trades at just 14.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. A healthy 14.2% return on equity. Pays a 2.6% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in MRPL?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 25% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (45%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.