ABB
ABB India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ABB India (ABB) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ABB a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
ABB India (ABB) trades at ₹7,258,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, ABB India (ABB) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing expensive at 101.0× earnings, ROE of 22.4%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ABB fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ABB overvalued? ABB P/E vs its Capital Goods
ABB's P/E of 101.0× sits above the Capital Goods peer median of 66.0×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.54% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.14%.
ABB share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ABB history (-8%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABB 2027 | ₹4,250 | ₹6,379 | ₹9,629 | -12% |
| ABB 2028 | ₹3,149 | ₹5,600 | ₹10,026 | -23% |
| ABB 2029 | ₹2,434 | ₹4,915 | ₹9,927 | -32% |
| ABB 2030 | ₹1,907 | ₹4,320 | ₹9,702 | -40% |
| ABB 2031 | ₹1,517 | ₹3,767 | ₹9,525 | -48% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ABB goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ABB
- High return on equity (22.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (29.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹9,927.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 101.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 19.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2,434.
ABB volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ABB compounded at -8%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹4,250–₹9,629, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ABB price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ABB price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ABB hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ABB price target & forecast page.
ABB Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ABB scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
ABB MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ABB with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 30.5% | 3.3× |
| Zerodha | 26.0% | 3.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 23.5% | 4.3× |
Compare every broker on the ABB MTF page.
ABB vs peers,Capital Goods comparison
About ABB India: sector, index & market-cap context
ABB India (ABB) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Capital Goods sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.54L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the ABB Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ABB India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ABB analysis, FAQs
Is ABB India (ABB) a good buy?
On the numbers, ABB India (ABB) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing expensive at 101.0× earnings, ROE of 22.4%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ABB overvalued or undervalued?
ABB trades at 101.0× earnings versus a peer median of 66.0×, so it screens richer than its Capital Goods peers.
What is the ABB share price target for 2031?
ABB's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,767, with an 80% range of ₹1,517–₹9,525 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ABB doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ABB reaching ₹14,496 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for ABB?
High return on equity (22.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (29.9%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in ABB?
A rich 101.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 19.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.