CGPOWER
CG Power
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
CG Power (CGPOWER) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is CGPOWER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
CG Power (CGPOWER) trades at ₹963,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100.
On the numbers, CG Power (CGPOWER) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing expensive at 123.0× earnings, ROE of 20.8%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
CGPOWER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is CGPOWER overvalued? CGPOWER P/E vs its Capital Goods
CGPOWER's P/E of 123.0× sits above the Capital Goods peer median of 66.0×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.14% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.14%.
CGPOWER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of CGPOWER history (16%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGPOWER 2027 | ₹670 | ₹1,059 | ₹1,659 | +10% |
| CGPOWER 2028 | ₹608 | ₹1,163 | ₹2,196 | +21% |
| CGPOWER 2029 | ₹576 | ₹1,280 | ₹2,776 | +33% |
| CGPOWER 2030 | ₹560 | ₹1,399 | ₹3,500 | +45% |
| CGPOWER 2031 | ₹556 | ₹1,519 | ₹4,268 | +58% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability CGPOWER goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for CGPOWER
- High return on equity (20.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (27.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,059 (+10%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,776.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 123.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 19.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹576.
CGPOWER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years CGPOWER compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹670–₹1,659, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
CGPOWER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
CGPOWER price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds CGPOWER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the CGPOWER price target & forecast page.
CGPOWER Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. CGPOWER scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
CGPOWER MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy CGPOWER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.6% | 3.2× |
| Zerodha | 26.9% | 3.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 24.6% | 4.1× |
Compare every broker on the CGPOWER MTF page.
CGPOWER vs peers,Capital Goods comparison
About CG Power: sector, index & market-cap context
CG Power (CGPOWER) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Capital Goods sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.52L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the CGPOWER Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of CG Power's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
CGPOWER analysis, FAQs
Is CG Power (CGPOWER) a good buy?
On the numbers, CG Power (CGPOWER) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 60/100, weighing expensive at 123.0× earnings, ROE of 20.8%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is CGPOWER overvalued or undervalued?
CGPOWER trades at 123.0× earnings versus a peer median of 66.0×, so it screens richer than its Capital Goods peers.
What is the CGPOWER share price target for 2031?
CGPOWER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,519, with an 80% range of ₹556–₹4,268 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability CGPOWER doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of CGPOWER reaching ₹1,925 (2×) within 5 years is 39%.
What is the bull case for CGPOWER?
High return on equity (20.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (27.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,059 (+10%).
What are the risks in CGPOWER?
A rich 123.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 19.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.