SIEMENS
Siemens
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Siemens (SIEMENS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SIEMENS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Siemens (SIEMENS) trades at ₹3,768,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100.
On the numbers, Siemens (SIEMENS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing expensive at 56.5× earnings, ROE of 16.3%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SIEMENS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is SIEMENS overvalued? SIEMENS P/E vs its Capital Goods
SIEMENS's P/E of 56.5× sits below the Capital Goods peer median of 66.0×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers.
SIEMENS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of SIEMENS history (-9%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIEMENS 2027 | ₹2,154 | ₹3,298 | ₹5,000 | -12% |
| SIEMENS 2028 | ₹1,589 | ₹2,854 | ₹5,169 | -24% |
| SIEMENS 2029 | ₹1,215 | ₹2,456 | ₹5,155 | -35% |
| SIEMENS 2030 | ₹949 | ₹2,149 | ₹5,004 | -43% |
| SIEMENS 2031 | ₹741 | ₹1,871 | ₹4,763 | -50% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SIEMENS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SIEMENS
- A healthy 16.3% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (21.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹5,155.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 56.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 9.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,215.
SIEMENS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years SIEMENS compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,154–₹5,000, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SIEMENS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SIEMENS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SIEMENS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SIEMENS price target & forecast page.
SIEMENS Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. SIEMENS scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
SIEMENS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SIEMENS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 31.2% | 3.2× |
| Zerodha | 26.6% | 3.8× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 24.2% | 4.1× |
Compare every broker on the SIEMENS MTF page.
SIEMENS vs peers,Capital Goods comparison
About Siemens: sector, index & market-cap context
Siemens (SIEMENS) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Capital Goods sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.34L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.
How the SIEMENS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Siemens's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SIEMENS analysis, FAQs
Is Siemens (SIEMENS) a good buy?
On the numbers, Siemens (SIEMENS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing expensive at 56.5× earnings, ROE of 16.3%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SIEMENS overvalued or undervalued?
SIEMENS trades at 56.5× earnings versus a peer median of 66.0×, so it screens cheaper than its Capital Goods peers.
What is the SIEMENS share price target for 2031?
SIEMENS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,871, with an 80% range of ₹741–₹4,763 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SIEMENS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SIEMENS reaching ₹7,519 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for SIEMENS?
A healthy 16.3% return on equity. Strong ROCE (21.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in SIEMENS?
A rich 56.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 9.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.