Case study

HINDCOPPER

Hindustan Copper Limited

Mixed signals1y model +1.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Hindustan Copper Limited (HINDCOPPER) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is HINDCOPPER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Hindustan Copper Limited (HINDCOPPER) trades at ₹536,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Hindustan Copper Limited (HINDCOPPER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 52.5× earnings, ROE of 32.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

HINDCOPPER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹51,842 Cr
Current price
₹536
P/E ratio
52.5×
P/B ratio
15.49×
Book value
₹35
Dividend yield
0.19%
ROCE
42.5%
ROE
32.9%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How HINDCOPPER ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is HINDCOPPER overvalued? HINDCOPPER P/E vs its Metals

HINDCOPPER's P/E of 52.5× sits above the Metals peer median of 19.8×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.19% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.55%.

HINDCOPPER P/E
52.5×
Peer median P/E
19.8×
HINDCOPPER div yield
0.19%
Peer median yield
0.55%

HINDCOPPER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HINDCOPPER history (22%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
HINDCOPPER 2027₹293₹544₹1,012+2%
HINDCOPPER 2028₹227₹552₹1,346+3%
HINDCOPPER 2029₹193₹561₹1,630+5%
HINDCOPPER 2030₹167₹569₹1,944+6%
HINDCOPPER 2031₹145₹578₹2,296+8%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability HINDCOPPER goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
53%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
28%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,072 within 5 years

The bull case for HINDCOPPER

  • HINDCOPPER's return on equity of 32.9% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • HINDCOPPER's return on capital employed of 42.5% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,630.

The bear case & risks

  • HINDCOPPER's P/E of 52.5x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 15.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹193.

HINDCOPPER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years HINDCOPPER compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹293-₹1,012, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

HINDCOPPER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
1.5%
80% range₹293-₹1,012
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
4.6%
80% range₹193-₹1,630
P(price ↑)52%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
7.8%
80% range₹145-₹2,296
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)28%

HINDCOPPER price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
HINDCOPPER simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds HINDCOPPER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the HINDCOPPER price target & forecast page.

HINDCOPPER Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HINDCOPPER scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

HINDCOPPER MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HINDCOPPER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox38.60%2.6×
Zerodha38.56%2.6×
Groww38.62%2.6×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo38.61%2.6×
Paytm Money38.63%2.6×
Pocketful38.97%2.6×
Anand Rathi38.56%2.6×
Bajaj Broking42.00%2.4×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST38.36%2.6×

Compare every broker on the HINDCOPPER MTF page.

HINDCOPPER vs peers,Metals comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
HINDCOPPER (this stock)52.5×0.19%₹51,842 Cr
TATASTEEL19.8×2.13%₹2.34L Cr
VEDL9.9×12.20%₹1.09L Cr
JINDALSTEL36.4×0.18%₹1.13L Cr
HINDALCO11.4×0.47%₹2.38L Cr
JSWSTEEL26.4×0.55%₹3.18L Cr
SAIL15.1×0.91%₹72,937 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Hindustan Copper Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Hindustan Copper Limited (HINDCOPPER) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Metals sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹51,842 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the HINDCOPPER Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hindustan Copper Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

HINDCOPPER analysis, FAQs

Is Hindustan Copper Limited (HINDCOPPER) a good buy?

On the numbers, Hindustan Copper Limited (HINDCOPPER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 52.5× earnings, ROE of 32.9%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is HINDCOPPER overvalued or undervalued?

HINDCOPPER trades at 52.5× earnings versus a peer median of 19.8×, so it screens richer than its Metals peers.

What is the HINDCOPPER share price target for 2031?

HINDCOPPER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹578, with an 80% range of ₹145-₹2,296 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability HINDCOPPER doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of HINDCOPPER reaching ₹1,072 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.

What is the bull case for HINDCOPPER?

HINDCOPPER's return on equity of 32.9% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. HINDCOPPER's return on capital employed of 42.5% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in HINDCOPPER?

HINDCOPPER's P/E of 52.5x is lower than 25% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 15.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on HINDCOPPER