HINDCOPPER
Hindustan Copper
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Hindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HINDCOPPER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Hindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER) trades at ₹511,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Hindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 50.0× earnings, ROE of 32.9%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HINDCOPPER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is HINDCOPPER overvalued? HINDCOPPER P/E vs its Metals
HINDCOPPER's P/E of 50.0× sits above the Metals peer median of 22.0×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.29% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.55%.
HINDCOPPER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of HINDCOPPER history (22%/yr drift, 49%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HINDCOPPER 2027 | ₹302 | ₹559 | ₹1,050 | +10% |
| HINDCOPPER 2028 | ₹254 | ₹619 | ₹1,519 | +21% |
| HINDCOPPER 2029 | ₹237 | ₹691 | ₹2,031 | +35% |
| HINDCOPPER 2030 | ₹226 | ₹759 | ₹2,683 | +49% |
| HINDCOPPER 2031 | ₹217 | ₹834 | ₹3,437 | +63% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HINDCOPPER goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HINDCOPPER
- High return on equity (32.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (42.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,031.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 50.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 14.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹237.
HINDCOPPER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years HINDCOPPER compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 49%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹302–₹1,050, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HINDCOPPER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HINDCOPPER price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HINDCOPPER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HINDCOPPER price target & forecast page.
HINDCOPPER Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. HINDCOPPER scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
HINDCOPPER MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HINDCOPPER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 39.8% | 2.5× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 39.8% | 2.5× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the HINDCOPPER MTF page.
HINDCOPPER vs peers,Metals comparison
About Hindustan Copper: sector, index & market-cap context
Hindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Metals sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹49,410 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the HINDCOPPER Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Hindustan Copper's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HINDCOPPER analysis, FAQs
Is Hindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER) a good buy?
On the numbers, Hindustan Copper (HINDCOPPER) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 50.0× earnings, ROE of 32.9%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HINDCOPPER overvalued or undervalued?
HINDCOPPER trades at 50.0× earnings versus a peer median of 22.0×, so it screens richer than its Metals peers.
What is the HINDCOPPER share price target for 2031?
HINDCOPPER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹834, with an 80% range of ₹217–₹3,437 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HINDCOPPER doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HINDCOPPER reaching ₹1,022 (2×) within 5 years is 42%.
What is the bull case for HINDCOPPER?
High return on equity (32.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (42.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in HINDCOPPER?
A rich 50.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 14.8× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (49%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.