Case study

JINDALSTEL

Jindal Steel & Power Limited

Mixed signals1y model +9.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Jindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JINDALSTEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) trades at ₹1,103,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Jindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 36.4× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JINDALSTEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.13L Cr
Current price
₹1,103
P/E ratio
36.4×
P/B ratio
2.21×
Book value
₹499
Dividend yield
0.18%
ROCE
9.7%
ROE
8.2%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How JINDALSTEL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for JINDALSTEL, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is JINDALSTEL overvalued? JINDALSTEL P/E vs its Metals

JINDALSTEL's P/E of 36.4× sits above the Metals peer median of 15.1×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.18% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.91%.

JINDALSTEL P/E
36.4×
Peer median P/E
15.1×
JINDALSTEL div yield
0.18%
Peer median yield
0.91%

JINDALSTEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JINDALSTEL history (26%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JINDALSTEL 2027₹829₹1,204₹1,747+9%
JINDALSTEL 2028₹779₹1,314₹2,215+19%
JINDALSTEL 2029₹750₹1,434₹2,742+30%
JINDALSTEL 2030₹744₹1,565₹3,290+42%
JINDALSTEL 2031₹733₹1,707₹3,976+55%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JINDALSTEL goes up, or doubles?

62%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
75%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
34%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,206 within 5 years

The bull case for JINDALSTEL

  • A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,204 (+9%).
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,742.

The bear case & risks

  • JINDALSTEL's P/E of 36.4x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • JINDALSTEL's return on equity of 8.2% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹750.

JINDALSTEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JINDALSTEL compounded at 26%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹829-₹1,747, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JINDALSTEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.1%
80% range₹829-₹1,747
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
30.0%
80% range₹750-₹2,742
P(price ↑)70%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
54.8%
80% range₹733-₹3,976
P(price ↑)75%
P(price 2×)34%

JINDALSTEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JINDALSTEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JINDALSTEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JINDALSTEL price target & forecast page.

JINDALSTEL Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JINDALSTEL scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

JINDALSTEL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JINDALSTEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox25.69%3.9×
Zerodha24.90%4.0×
Groww24.92%4.0×
Dhan23.00%4.3×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST22.17%4.5×
Paytm Money22.32%4.5×
Pocketful29.41%3.4×
Anand Rathi29.16%3.4×
Bajaj Broking24.00%4.2×
Share India29.24%3.4×

Compare every broker on the JINDALSTEL MTF page.

JINDALSTEL vs peers,Metals comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JINDALSTEL (this stock)36.4×0.18%₹1.13L Cr
TATASTEEL19.8×2.13%₹2.34L Cr
VEDL9.9×12.20%₹1.09L Cr
HINDALCO11.4×0.47%₹2.38L Cr
JSWSTEEL26.4×0.55%₹3.18L Cr
SAIL15.1×0.91%₹72,937 Cr
NATIONALUM10.4×3.02%₹69,976 Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Jindal Steel & Power Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Jindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Metals sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.13L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JINDALSTEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jindal Steel & Power Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JINDALSTEL analysis, FAQs

Is Jindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing premium at 36.4× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 62% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JINDALSTEL overvalued or undervalued?

JINDALSTEL trades at 36.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.1×, so it screens richer than its Metals peers.

What is the JINDALSTEL share price target for 2031?

JINDALSTEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,707, with an 80% range of ₹733-₹3,976 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JINDALSTEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JINDALSTEL reaching ₹2,206 (2×) within 5 years is 34%.

What is the bull case for JINDALSTEL?

A 10,000-path probability model puts a 62% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,204 (+9%).

What are the risks in JINDALSTEL?

JINDALSTEL's P/E of 36.4x is lower than 37% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. JINDALSTEL's return on equity of 8.2% ranks in the 41st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on JINDALSTEL