Case study

JINDALSTEL

Jindal Steel & Power

Tread carefully1y model -0.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Jindal Steel & Power (JINDALSTEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JINDALSTEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jindal Steel & Power (JINDALSTEL) trades at ₹1,132,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Jindal Steel & Power (JINDALSTEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 28.6× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JINDALSTEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.15L Cr
Current price
₹1,132
P/E ratio
28.6×
P/B ratio
2.27×
Book value
₹499
Dividend yield
0.18%
ROCE
9.7%
ROE
8.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is JINDALSTEL overvalued? JINDALSTEL P/E vs its Metals

JINDALSTEL's P/E of 28.6× sits above the Metals peer median of 18.8×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.18% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.92%.

JINDALSTEL P/E
28.6×
Peer median P/E
18.8×
JINDALSTEL div yield
0.18%
Peer median yield
0.92%

JINDALSTEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JINDALSTEL history (3%/yr drift, 29%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JINDALSTEL 2027₹774₹1,127₹1,643-1%
JINDALSTEL 2028₹651₹1,114₹1,873-2%
JINDALSTEL 2029₹576₹1,099₹2,086-3%
JINDALSTEL 2030₹519₹1,089₹2,275-4%
JINDALSTEL 2031₹466₹1,069₹2,458-6%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JINDALSTEL goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
12%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,275 within 5 years

The bull case for JINDALSTEL

  • Jindal Steel & Power is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,086.

The bear case & risks

  • At 28.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Return on equity is a soft 8.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹576.

JINDALSTEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JINDALSTEL compounded at 3%/year with annualized volatility of 29%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹774₹1,643, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JINDALSTEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.9%
80% range₹774–₹1,643
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
3.4%
80% range₹576–₹2,086
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)7%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
6.1%
80% range₹466–₹2,458
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)12%

JINDALSTEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JINDALSTEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JINDALSTEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JINDALSTEL price target & forecast page.

JINDALSTEL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JINDALSTEL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

JINDALSTEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JINDALSTEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox29.4%3.4×
Zerodha25.1%4.0×
DhanCHEAPEST23.0%4.3×

Compare every broker on the JINDALSTEL MTF page.

JINDALSTEL vs peers,Metals comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JINDALSTEL (this stock)28.6×0.18%₹1.15L Cr
TATASTEEL22.0×2.01%₹2.48L Cr
VEDL13.8×14.20%₹1.20L Cr
HINDALCO13.0×0.49%₹2.28L Cr
JSWSTEEL34.4×0.55%₹3.13L Cr
SAIL18.8×0.92%₹72,222 Cr
NATIONALUM12.0×2.78%₹69,480 Cr

About Jindal Steel & Power: sector, index & market-cap context

Jindal Steel & Power (JINDALSTEL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Metals sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.15L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.

How the JINDALSTEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jindal Steel & Power's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JINDALSTEL analysis, FAQs

Is Jindal Steel & Power (JINDALSTEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jindal Steel & Power (JINDALSTEL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 28.6× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JINDALSTEL overvalued or undervalued?

JINDALSTEL trades at 28.6× earnings versus a peer median of 18.8×, so it screens richer than its Metals peers.

What is the JINDALSTEL share price target for 2031?

JINDALSTEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,069, with an 80% range of ₹466₹2,458 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JINDALSTEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JINDALSTEL reaching ₹2,275 (2×) within 5 years is 12%.

What is the bull case for JINDALSTEL?

Jindal Steel & Power is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in JINDALSTEL?

At 28.6× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 8.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.

More on JINDALSTEL