SAIL
Steel Authority Of India Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Steel Authority Of India Limited (SAIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is SAIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Steel Authority Of India Limited (SAIL) trades at ₹177,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, Steel Authority Of India Limited (SAIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 6.4%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
SAIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How SAIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- SAIL's market cap of 72,937 Cr ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAIL's book value of ₹146 ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAIL's promoter holding of 65.0% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAIL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 25.0% ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAIL's 3-year revenue growth of 2.0% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- SAIL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53x is lower than 33% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is SAIL overvalued? SAIL P/E vs its Metals
SAIL's P/E of 15.1× sits above the Metals peer median of 15.1×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.91% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.91%.
SAIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of SAIL history (13%/yr drift, 36%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAIL 2027 | ₹116 | ₹184 | ₹291 | +4% |
| SAIL 2028 | ₹101 | ₹192 | ₹365 | +9% |
| SAIL 2029 | ₹90 | ₹200 | ₹443 | +13% |
| SAIL 2030 | ₹83 | ₹209 | ₹523 | +18% |
| SAIL 2031 | ₹78 | ₹218 | ₹610 | +23% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability SAIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for SAIL
- SAIL's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 1.21×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹443.
The bear case & risks
- SAIL's return on equity of 6.4% ranks in the 34th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹90.
SAIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years SAIL compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 36%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹116-₹291, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
SAIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
SAIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds SAIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the SAIL price target & forecast page.
SAIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. SAIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
SAIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy SAIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 28.91% | 3.5× |
| Zerodha | 27.60% | 3.6× |
| Groww | 27.65% | 3.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 25.37% | 3.9× |
| Kotak Neo | 25.38% | 3.9× |
| Paytm Money | 26.28% | 3.8× |
| Pocketful | 32.63% | 3.1× |
| Anand Rathi | 32.37% | 3.1× |
| Bajaj Broking | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Share India | 32.33% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the SAIL MTF page.
SAIL vs peers,Metals comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAIL (this stock) | 15.1× | 0.91% | ₹72,937 Cr |
| TATASTEEL | 19.8× | 2.13% | ₹2.34L Cr |
| VEDL | 9.9× | 12.20% | ₹1.09L Cr |
| JINDALSTEL | 36.4× | 0.18% | ₹1.13L Cr |
| HINDALCO | 11.4× | 0.47% | ₹2.38L Cr |
| JSWSTEEL | 26.4× | 0.55% | ₹3.18L Cr |
| NATIONALUM | 10.4× | 3.02% | ₹69,976 Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026
About Steel Authority Of India Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Steel Authority Of India Limited (SAIL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Metals sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹72,937 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the SAIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Steel Authority Of India Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
SAIL analysis, FAQs
Is Steel Authority Of India Limited (SAIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Steel Authority Of India Limited (SAIL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 15.1× earnings, ROE of 6.4%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is SAIL overvalued or undervalued?
SAIL trades at 15.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.1×, so it screens richer than its Metals peers.
What is the SAIL share price target for 2031?
SAIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹218, with an 80% range of ₹78-₹610 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability SAIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of SAIL reaching ₹353 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for SAIL?
SAIL's P/E of 15.1x is lower than 74% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.21×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in SAIL?
SAIL's return on equity of 6.4% ranks in the 34th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.