JSWSTEEL
JSW STEEL LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
JSW STEEL LIMITED (JSWSTEEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JSWSTEEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
JSW STEEL LIMITED (JSWSTEEL) trades at ₹1,300,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100.
On the numbers, JSW STEEL LIMITED (JSWSTEEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing premium at 26.4× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JSWSTEEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How JSWSTEEL ranks against the 2,371 companies in our screener
- JSWSTEEL's market cap of 3.18L Cr ranks in the top 1% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- JSWSTEEL's book value of ₹409 ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- JSWSTEEL's promoter holding of 44.3% ranks in the 22nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- JSWSTEEL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 35.0% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- JSWSTEEL's 3-year revenue growth of 4.0% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- JSWSTEEL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.99x is lower than 15% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
Is JSWSTEEL overvalued? JSWSTEEL P/E vs its Metals
JSWSTEEL's P/E of 26.4× sits above the Metals peer median of 15.1×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.55% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.91%.
JSWSTEEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JSWSTEEL history (21%/yr drift, 24%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JSWSTEEL 2027 | ₹1,036 | ₹1,422 | ₹1,952 | +9% |
| JSWSTEEL 2028 | ₹992 | ₹1,555 | ₹2,439 | +20% |
| JSWSTEEL 2029 | ₹976 | ₹1,702 | ₹2,966 | +31% |
| JSWSTEEL 2030 | ₹987 | ₹1,862 | ₹3,513 | +43% |
| JSWSTEEL 2031 | ₹998 | ₹2,037 | ₹4,158 | +57% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JSWSTEEL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JSWSTEEL
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,422 (+9%).
- Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,966.
The bear case & risks
- JSWSTEEL's P/E of 26.4x is lower than 51% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- JSWSTEEL's return on equity of 10.2% ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹976.
JSWSTEEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years JSWSTEEL compounded at 21%/year with annualized volatility of 24%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,036-₹1,952, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JSWSTEEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JSWSTEEL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JSWSTEEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JSWSTEEL price target & forecast page.
JSWSTEEL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JSWSTEEL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
JSWSTEEL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JSWSTEEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 23.62% | 4.2× |
| Zerodha | 23.10% | 4.3× |
| Groww | 23.09% | 4.3× |
| Dhan | 22.00% | 4.5× |
| Kotak NeoCHEAPEST | 20.12% | 5.0× |
| Paytm Money | 20.17% | 5.0× |
| Pocketful | 27.24% | 3.7× |
| Anand Rathi | 27.10% | 3.7× |
| Bajaj Broking | 23.00% | 4.3× |
| Share India | 27.11% | 3.7× |
Compare every broker on the JSWSTEEL MTF page.
JSWSTEEL vs peers,Metals comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| JSWSTEEL (this stock) | 26.4× | 0.55% | ₹3.18L Cr |
| TATASTEEL | 20.2× | 2.11% | ₹2.38L Cr |
| VEDL | 9.8× | 15.70% | ₹1.08L Cr |
| JINDALSTEL | 36.4× | 0.18% | ₹1.13L Cr |
| HINDALCO | 11.4× | 0.47% | ₹2.38L Cr |
| SAIL | 15.1× | 0.91% | ₹73,024 Cr |
| NATIONALUM | 10.4× | 3.02% | ₹69,976 Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 8 Aug 2026
About JSW STEEL LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
JSW STEEL LIMITED (JSWSTEEL) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Metals sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹3.18L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the JSWSTEEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JSW STEEL LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JSWSTEEL analysis, FAQs
Is JSW STEEL LIMITED (JSWSTEEL) a good buy?
On the numbers, JSW STEEL LIMITED (JSWSTEEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 50/100, weighing premium at 26.4× earnings, ROE of 10.2%, a 65% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JSWSTEEL overvalued or undervalued?
JSWSTEEL trades at 26.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.1×, so it screens richer than its Metals peers.
What is the JSWSTEEL share price target for 2031?
JSWSTEEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,037, with an 80% range of ₹998-₹4,158 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JSWSTEEL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JSWSTEEL reaching ₹2,599 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for JSWSTEEL?
A 10,000-path probability model puts a 65% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹1,422 (+9%). Relatively low volatility (24%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in JSWSTEEL?
JSWSTEEL's P/E of 26.4x is lower than 51% of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026. JSWSTEEL's return on equity of 10.2% ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,371 NSE companies in our screener, as of 8 Aug 2026.