HINDZINC
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED (HINDZINC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is HINDZINC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED (HINDZINC) trades at ₹595,on the numbers it screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100.
On the numbers, HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED (HINDZINC) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.8× earnings, ROE of 76.6%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
HINDZINC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How HINDZINC ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener
- HINDZINC's market cap of 2.52L Cr ranks in the top 2% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- HINDZINC's book value of ₹54 ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- HINDZINC's promoter holding of 60.7% ranks in the 53rd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- HINDZINC's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 10.0% ranks in the 42nd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- HINDZINC's 3-year revenue growth of 6.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- HINDZINC's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39x is lower than 43% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
Is HINDZINC overvalued? HINDZINC P/E vs its Metals
HINDZINC's P/E of 14.8× sits above the Metals peer median of 14.8×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.85% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.93%.
HINDZINC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of HINDZINC history (10%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HINDZINC 2027 | ₹367 | ₹590 | ₹948 | -2% |
| HINDZINC 2028 | ₹293 | ₹577 | ₹1,135 | -4% |
| HINDZINC 2029 | ₹249 | ₹564 | ₹1,276 | -7% |
| HINDZINC 2030 | ₹212 | ₹551 | ₹1,436 | -9% |
| HINDZINC 2031 | ₹183 | ₹539 | ₹1,583 | -11% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability HINDZINC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for HINDZINC
- HINDZINC's P/E of 14.8x is lower than 74% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- HINDZINC's return on equity of 76.6% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- HINDZINC's return on capital employed of 69.5% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,276.
The bear case & risks
- A steep 11.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹249.
HINDZINC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years HINDZINC compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹367-₹948, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
HINDZINC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
HINDZINC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds HINDZINC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the HINDZINC price target & forecast page.
HINDZINC Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. HINDZINC scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
HINDZINC MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy HINDZINC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 29.97% | 3.3× |
| Zerodha | 28.50% | 3.5× |
| Groww | 28.52% | 3.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 26.46% | 3.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 30.03% | 3.3× |
| Paytm Money | 30.08% | 3.3× |
| Pocketful | 33.71% | 3.0× |
| Fyers | 34.48% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 33.46% | 3.0× |
| Bajaj Broking | 42.00% | 2.4× |
| Share India | 33.28% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the HINDZINC MTF page.
HINDZINC vs peers,Metals comparison
| Stock | P/E | Div yield | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| HINDZINC (this stock) | 14.8× | 1.85% | ₹2.52L Cr |
| TATASTEEL | 20.0× | 2.10% | ₹2.37L Cr |
| VEDL | 10.2× | 12.00% | ₹1.12L Cr |
| JINDALSTEL | 37.3× | 0.18% | ₹1.15L Cr |
| HINDALCO | 11.4× | 0.47% | ₹2.38L Cr |
| JSWSTEEL | 26.6× | 0.55% | ₹3.20L Cr |
| SAIL | 14.8× | 0.93% | ₹71,364 Cr |
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 10 Aug 2026
About HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED (HINDZINC) is a large-cap NSE-listed company in the Metals sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹2.52L Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the HINDZINC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
HINDZINC analysis, FAQs
Is HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED (HINDZINC) a good buy?
On the numbers, HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED (HINDZINC) screens attractive, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 76/100, weighing inexpensive at 14.8× earnings, ROE of 76.6%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is HINDZINC overvalued or undervalued?
HINDZINC trades at 14.8× earnings versus a peer median of 14.8×, so it screens richer than its Metals peers.
What is the HINDZINC share price target for 2031?
HINDZINC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹539, with an 80% range of ₹183-₹1,583 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability HINDZINC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of HINDZINC reaching ₹1,206 (2×) within 5 years is 17%.
What is the bull case for HINDZINC?
HINDZINC's P/E of 14.8x is lower than 74% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. HINDZINC's return on equity of 76.6% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. HINDZINC's return on capital employed of 69.5% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in HINDZINC?
A steep 11.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.