Case study

KIRLOSENG

Kirloskar Oil and Engineering

Tread carefully1y model +9.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Kirloskar Oil and Engineering (KIRLOSENG) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KIRLOSENG a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Kirloskar Oil and Engineering (KIRLOSENG) trades at ₹2,390,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100.

On the numbers, Kirloskar Oil and Engineering (KIRLOSENG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 58.5× earnings, ROE of 17.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KIRLOSENG fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹34,728 Cr
Current price
₹2,390
P/E ratio
58.5×
P/B ratio
9.60×
Book value
₹249
Dividend yield
0.27%
ROCE
14.7%
ROE
17.7%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is KIRLOSENG overvalued? KIRLOSENG P/E vs its Capital Goods

KIRLOSENG's P/E of 58.5× sits below the Capital Goods peer median of 66.0×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.27% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.27%.

KIRLOSENG P/E
58.5×
Peer median P/E
66.0×
KIRLOSENG div yield
0.27%
Peer median yield
0.27%

KIRLOSENG share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KIRLOSENG history (18%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KIRLOSENG 2027₹1,281₹2,170₹3,714+9%
KIRLOSENG 2028₹1,139₹2,414₹5,123+21%
KIRLOSENG 2029₹1,040₹2,628₹6,636+32%
KIRLOSENG 2030₹978₹2,933₹8,253+47%
KIRLOSENG 2031₹956₹3,184₹10,514+60%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KIRLOSENG goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
69%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
40%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹3,983 within 5 years

The bull case for KIRLOSENG

  • A healthy 17.7% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,636.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 58.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 9.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,040.

KIRLOSENG volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KIRLOSENG compounded at 18%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,281₹3,714, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KIRLOSENG price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
9.0%
80% range₹1,281–₹3,714
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
32.0%
80% range₹1,040–₹6,636
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)28%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
59.9%
80% range₹956–₹10,514
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)40%

KIRLOSENG price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KIRLOSENG simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KIRLOSENG hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KIRLOSENG price target & forecast page.

KIRLOSENG Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KIRLOSENG scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

KIRLOSENG MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KIRLOSENG with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×
Groww35.1%2.8×
DhanCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×

Compare every broker on the KIRLOSENG MTF page.

KIRLOSENG vs peers,Capital Goods comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KIRLOSENG (this stock)58.5×0.27%₹34,728 Cr
SIEMENS56.5×0.00%₹1.34L Cr
BHEL89.7×0.12%₹1.43L Cr
CUMMINSIND66.0×1.15%₹1.60L Cr
ABB101.0×0.54%₹1.54L Cr
CGPOWER123.0×0.14%₹1.52L Cr
POLYCAB60.0×0.47%₹1.51L Cr

About Kirloskar Oil and Engineering: sector, index & market-cap context

Kirloskar Oil and Engineering (KIRLOSENG) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Capital Goods sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹34,728 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the KIRLOSENG Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kirloskar Oil and Engineering's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KIRLOSENG analysis, FAQs

Is Kirloskar Oil and Engineering (KIRLOSENG) a good buy?

On the numbers, Kirloskar Oil and Engineering (KIRLOSENG) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 41/100, weighing expensive at 58.5× earnings, ROE of 17.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KIRLOSENG overvalued or undervalued?

KIRLOSENG trades at 58.5× earnings versus a peer median of 66.0×, so it screens cheaper than its Capital Goods peers.

What is the KIRLOSENG share price target for 2031?

KIRLOSENG's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,184, with an 80% range of ₹956₹10,514 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KIRLOSENG doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KIRLOSENG reaching ₹3,983 (2×) within 5 years is 40%.

What is the bull case for KIRLOSENG?

A healthy 17.7% return on equity.

What are the risks in KIRLOSENG?

A rich 58.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 9.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on KIRLOSENG