Case study

RRKABEL

R R Kabel

Mixed signals1y model +7.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

R R Kabel (RRKABEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is RRKABEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

R R Kabel (RRKABEL) trades at ₹2,353,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, R R Kabel (RRKABEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 52.6× earnings, ROE of 21.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

RRKABEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹26,626 Cr
Current price
₹2,353
P/E ratio
52.6×
P/B ratio
10.32×
Book value
₹228
Dividend yield
0.40%
ROCE
28.1%
ROE
21.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is RRKABEL overvalued? RRKABEL P/E vs its Capital Goods

RRKABEL's P/E of 52.6× sits below the Capital Goods peer median of 66.0×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.40% dividend yield is above the peer median of 0.40%.

RRKABEL P/E
52.6×
Peer median P/E
66.0×
RRKABEL div yield
0.40%
Peer median yield
0.40%

RRKABEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of RRKABEL history (14%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
RRKABEL 2027₹1,536₹2,489₹4,091+7%
RRKABEL 2028₹1,355₹2,673₹5,346+15%
RRKABEL 2029₹1,255₹2,887₹6,738+24%
RRKABEL 2030₹1,176₹3,100₹8,156+34%
RRKABEL 2031₹1,124₹3,337₹9,923+44%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability RRKABEL goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
67%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
35%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹4,642 within 5 years

The bull case for RRKABEL

  • High return on equity (21.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (28.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹6,738.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 52.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,255.

RRKABEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years RRKABEL compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,536₹4,091, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

RRKABEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.2%
80% range₹1,536–₹4,091
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
24.4%
80% range₹1,255–₹6,738
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
43.8%
80% range₹1,124–₹9,923
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)35%

RRKABEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
RRKABEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds RRKABEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the RRKABEL price target & forecast page.

RRKABEL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. RRKABEL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

RRKABEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy RRKABEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST33.2%3.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.2%3.0×
Groww33.3%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST33.2%3.0×

Compare every broker on the RRKABEL MTF page.

RRKABEL vs peers,Capital Goods comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
RRKABEL (this stock)52.6×0.40%₹26,626 Cr
SIEMENS56.5×0.00%₹1.34L Cr
BHEL89.7×0.12%₹1.43L Cr
CUMMINSIND66.0×1.15%₹1.60L Cr
ABB101.0×0.54%₹1.54L Cr
CGPOWER123.0×0.14%₹1.52L Cr
POLYCAB60.0×0.47%₹1.51L Cr

About R R Kabel: sector, index & market-cap context

R R Kabel (RRKABEL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the Capital Goods sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹26,626 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the RRKABEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of R R Kabel's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

RRKABEL analysis, FAQs

Is R R Kabel (RRKABEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, R R Kabel (RRKABEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 52.6× earnings, ROE of 21.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is RRKABEL overvalued or undervalued?

RRKABEL trades at 52.6× earnings versus a peer median of 66.0×, so it screens cheaper than its Capital Goods peers.

What is the RRKABEL share price target for 2031?

RRKABEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,337, with an 80% range of ₹1,124₹9,923 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability RRKABEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of RRKABEL reaching ₹4,642 (2×) within 5 years is 35%.

What is the bull case for RRKABEL?

High return on equity (21.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (28.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in RRKABEL?

A rich 52.6× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 10.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

More on RRKABEL