Case study

TDPOWERSYS

Td Power Systems Limited

Mixed signals1y model +3.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Td Power Systems Limited (TDPOWERSYS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is TDPOWERSYS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Td Power Systems Limited (TDPOWERSYS) trades at ₹1,228,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Td Power Systems Limited (TDPOWERSYS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 80.4× earnings, ROE of 24.7%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

TDPOWERSYS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹19,196 Cr
Current price
₹1,228
P/E ratio
80.4×
P/B ratio
17.90×
Book value
₹69
Dividend yield
0.17%
ROCE
34.0%
ROE
24.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How TDPOWERSYS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is TDPOWERSYS overvalued? TDPOWERSYS P/E vs its Capital Goods

TDPOWERSYS's P/E of 80.4× sits above the Capital Goods peer median of 61.7×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.17% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.46%.

TDPOWERSYS P/E
80.4×
Peer median P/E
61.7×
TDPOWERSYS div yield
0.17%
Peer median yield
0.46%

TDPOWERSYS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of TDPOWERSYS history (34%/yr drift, 48%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
TDPOWERSYS 2027₹693₹1,305₹2,457+3%
TDPOWERSYS 2028₹553₹1,350₹3,296+7%
TDPOWERSYS 2029₹474₹1,397₹4,115+11%
TDPOWERSYS 2030₹417₹1,446₹5,014+15%
TDPOWERSYS 2031₹365₹1,496₹6,123+19%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability TDPOWERSYS goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
56%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,522 within 5 years

The bull case for TDPOWERSYS

  • TDPOWERSYS's return on equity of 24.7% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • TDPOWERSYS's return on capital employed of 34.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹4,115.

The bear case & risks

  • TDPOWERSYS's P/E of 82.5x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 17.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹474.

TDPOWERSYS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years TDPOWERSYS compounded at 34%/year with annualized volatility of 48%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹693-₹2,457, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

TDPOWERSYS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.5%
80% range₹693-₹2,457
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)9%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
10.8%
80% range₹474-₹4,115
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.6%
80% range₹365-₹6,123
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)32%

TDPOWERSYS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
TDPOWERSYS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds TDPOWERSYS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the TDPOWERSYS price target & forecast page.

TDPOWERSYS Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. TDPOWERSYS scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

TDPOWERSYS MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy TDPOWERSYS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Zerodha38.78%2.6×
Groww38.83%2.6×
Kotak Neo38.76%2.6×
Paytm Money100.00%1.0×
PocketfulCHEAPEST38.61%2.6×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share India38.70%2.6×

Compare every broker on the TDPOWERSYS MTF page.

TDPOWERSYS vs peers,Capital Goods comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
TDPOWERSYS (this stock)80.4×0.17%₹19,196 Cr
SIEMENS50.0×0.46%₹1.40L Cr
BHEL58.0×0.35%₹1.41L Cr
CUMMINSIND61.7×1.22%₹1.50L Cr
ABB104.0×0.52%₹1.61L Cr
CGPOWER109.0×0.15%₹1.38L Cr
POLYCAB48.5×0.51%₹1.39L Cr

Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 9 Aug 2026

About Td Power Systems Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Td Power Systems Limited (TDPOWERSYS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company in the Capital Goods sector, with a market capitalisation of ₹19,196 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the TDPOWERSYS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Td Power Systems Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

TDPOWERSYS analysis, FAQs

Is Td Power Systems Limited (TDPOWERSYS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Td Power Systems Limited (TDPOWERSYS) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 80.4× earnings, ROE of 24.7%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is TDPOWERSYS overvalued or undervalued?

TDPOWERSYS trades at 80.4× earnings versus a peer median of 61.7×, so it screens richer than its Capital Goods peers.

What is the TDPOWERSYS share price target for 2031?

TDPOWERSYS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,496, with an 80% range of ₹365-₹6,123 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability TDPOWERSYS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of TDPOWERSYS reaching ₹2,522 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for TDPOWERSYS?

TDPOWERSYS's return on equity of 24.7% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. TDPOWERSYS's return on capital employed of 34.0% ranks in the top 5% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in TDPOWERSYS?

TDPOWERSYS's P/E of 82.5x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 17.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (48%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on TDPOWERSYS